HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over RDN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RDN
Radian Group Inc.
RDN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
RDN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
RDN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RDN.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over RDN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RDN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.7x | $23.35 | -36% |
| Forward | 7.1x | $36.75 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $33.18 | -9.7% |
| Current | 9x | $36.75 | — |
| Expensive | 9.2x | $37.34 | +1.6% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDN's PE is in its expensive range at 9.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over RDN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
RDN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RDN, but weaker profitability.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
RDN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.16 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.08 | +2% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | -1.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.06 | +3.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.15 | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.00 | +3.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.96 | +3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.92 | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.92 | +4% |
RDN earned $4.08 per share over the past year, up 2% from the year before.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over RDN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over RDN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $624.1M | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $575M | +81% |
| Q1 2026 | $466.3M | +47% |
| Q4 2025 | $300.5M | -4.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $303.2M | -9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $318M | -1% |
| Q1 2025 | $318.1M | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $315.9M | -3.1% |
RDN's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $624M last quarter, up 106% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | -29 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | -29 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | -22 points |
| Q4 2025 | 67% | +7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 66% | +7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 55% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 59% | -2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 60% | +4.7 points |
RDN's operating margin was 37% last quarter, down 29 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
RDN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $379M | +6% |
| Q2 2026 | $342.7M | +$1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $284.3M | +327% |
| Q4 2025 | $406.1M | +$675.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $357.6M | +$595.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$714.6M | -$506.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $66.6M | +35% |
| Q3 2024 | -$238.1M | -417% |
RDN has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
RDN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -2.6% | -3.5M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -25.8M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -53.7M shares |
| Available history | -34% | -70.8M shares |
RDN has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $80.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $50M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $223M |
| Q1 2025 | $208.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $76M |
RDN spent $256M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 50% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
RDN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2019 | 0.9x | Very low |
RDN's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RDN.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RDN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 60.6 | Neutral |
RDN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
RDN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | RDN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9x | 13x | 31% below |
| PE % | 79 | 63 | 16 pts above |
RDN has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
RDN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.7 | 5.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $36.2 | 1.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $35.3 | 4.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $34.5 | 6.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.6 | 16% above |
RDN has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
RDN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.3 | $20.0 | -21% |
| 2021 | $20.0 | $20.5 | +2.6% |
| 2022 | $20.5 | $19.1 | -7.1% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $28.6 | +50% |
| 2024 | $28.6 | $31.8 | +11% |
| 2025 | $31.8 | $36.4 | +15% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.4 | $36.8 | +0.9% |
RDN has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.