HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PRU

Prudential Financial, Inc.

59
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PRU has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

PRU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PRU's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PRU.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over PRU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PRU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1001x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1001x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$83.42-32%
Forward9.2x$122—
Current11x$122—
Fair15x$161+31%
Expensive31x$339+177%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRU's PE is in its fair range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.2x, in its cheap range.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over PRU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PRU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PRU's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PRU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$141.07
Downside-13%$106.22

Calculated from the latest close: $122.41 on Nov 12.

PRU trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over PRU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.69Q1 2024: $5.88Q2 2024: $7.78Q3 2024: $11.25Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $6.34Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $7.31Q4 2025: $9.99Q1 2026: $9.71Q2 2026: $11.03Q3 2026: $10.98Forward: $13.31
Q4 2023: $6.69Q1 2024: $5.88Q2 2024: $7.78Q3 2024: $11.25Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $6.34Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $7.31Q4 2025: $9.99Q1 2026: $9.71Q2 2026: $11.03Q3 2026: $10.98Forward: $13.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.31+21%
Q3 2026$10.98+50%
Q2 2026$11.03+143%
Q1 2026$9.71+53%
Q4 2025$9.99+33%
Q3 2025$7.31-35%
Q2 2025$4.54-42%
Q1 2025$6.34+7.8%
Q4 2024$7.50+12%

PRU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $10.98 over the past year, against $19.51 in late 2021.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over PRU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.1BQ1 2024: $23.5BQ2 2024: $14.9BQ3 2024: $19.5BQ4 2024: $12.5BQ1 2025: $13.5BQ2 2025: $13.7BQ3 2025: $17.9BQ4 2025: $15.7BQ1 2026: $15.5BQ2 2026: $15.7BQ3 2026: $14.4B
Q4 2023: $15.1BQ1 2024: $23.5BQ2 2024: $14.9BQ3 2024: $19.5BQ4 2024: $12.5BQ1 2025: $13.5BQ2 2025: $13.7BQ3 2025: $17.9BQ4 2025: $15.7BQ1 2026: $15.5BQ2 2026: $15.7BQ3 2026: $14.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.4B-19%
Q2 2026$15.7B+14%
Q1 2026$15.5B+15%
Q4 2025$15.7B+25%
Q3 2025$17.9B-8.2%
Q2 2025$13.7B-7.8%
Q1 2025$13.5B-43%
Q4 2024$12.5B-17%

PRU's revenue is growing: $14.4B last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

PRU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: −$146MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: −$2.5BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: −$146MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: −$2.5BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B-8.4%
Q2 2026$2.3B+102%
Q1 2026$1B+$3.5B
Q4 2025$3.3B+43%
Q3 2025$4.3B+289%
Q2 2025$1.2B+$1.3B
Q1 2025-$2.5B-148%
Q4 2024$2.3B+111%

PRU has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

PRU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 359MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 356MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 353MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 349MQ2 2026: 348MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 359MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 356MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 353MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 349MQ2 2026: 348MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.7M shares
1 year-1.9%-6.6M shares
3 years-4.5%-16.2M shares
5 years-10%-40.4M shares
Available history-16%-64.5M shares

PRU has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over PRU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PRU Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 0.5xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2024: 0.5xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 20233.4xElevated
Q2 20233.8xElevated
Q1 202311.2xHigh
Q3 20221.1xHealthy
Q2 20222.0xHealthy
Q1 20221.0xHealthy

PRU's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PRU.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

PRU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic48.9Neutral

PRU's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PRU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPRUSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %426321 pts below

PRU has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

PRU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.84.8% above
20 week MA$118.53.3% above
50 week MA$110.011% above
100 week MA$108.713% above
200 week MA$106.515% above

PRU has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

PRU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.2$76.7-18%
2021$76.7$108.3+41%
2022$108.3$99.6-8%
2023$99.6$103.7+4.2%
2024$103.7$119.1+15%
2025$119.1$114.0-4.3%
2026 YTD$114.0$122.4+7.4%

PRU has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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