HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over PROV overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
PROV
Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
PROV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
PROV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PROV's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PROV.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over PROV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PROV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $11.99 | -34% |
| Forward | 13x | $18.24 | — |
| Fair | 15x | $15.03 | -18% |
| Expensive | 18x | $18.75 | +2.8% |
| Current | 18x | $18.24 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PROV's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over PROV on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
PROV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect PROV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over PROV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PROV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.35 | +32% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.03 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.92 | -5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.99 | +8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.90 | -17% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.93 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.97 | -4.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.91 | -19% |
PROV earned $1.03 per share over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over PROV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over PROV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PROV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.6M | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.6M | +8.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.9M | -2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.8M | +2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7M | +2.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.8M | -1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1M | +7.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.6M | -0.5% |
PROV's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $11M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | -7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | +4.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -6.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -4.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -19 points |
PROV's operating margin was 21% last quarter, down 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
PROV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3M | +74% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7M | -47% |
| Q4 2025 | $1M | +236% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2M | +$3M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.3M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $307K | +$749K |
PROV has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
PROV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.9% | -189K shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -332K shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -733K shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -1.4M shares |
PROV has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $801,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
PROV spent $7M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 64% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
PROV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
PROV has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
PROV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 45.7 | Neutral |
PROV's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PROV PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PROV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 13x | 36% above |
| PE % | 79 | 63 | 16 pts above |
PROV has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
PROV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $18.2 | 0% above |
| 20 week MA | $18.0 | 1.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $17.1 | 6.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $16.2 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $14.9 | 23% above |
PROV has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
PROV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.0 | $15.8 | -28% |
| 2021 | $15.8 | $16.7 | +5.7% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $13.8 | -17% |
| 2023 | $13.8 | $12.6 | -8.4% |
| 2024 | $12.6 | $15.9 | +26% |
| 2025 | $15.9 | $16.1 | +1.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.1 | $18.2 | +13% |
PROV has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.