HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over PMTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PMTS

CPI Card Group Inc.

56
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

PMTS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

PMTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PMTS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PMTS.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over PMTS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PMTS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.6x$25.16—
Cheap7.7x$10.50-58%
Fair13x$17.47-31%
Expensive18x$24.54-2.5%
Current18x$25.16—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PMTS's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PMTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PMTS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PMTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PMTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$40.81
Downside-27%$18.37

Calculated from the latest close: $25.16 on Nov 12.

PMTS trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over PMTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PMTS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.01Q1 2024: $1.56Q2 2024: $1.52Q3 2024: $1.30Q4 2024: $1.64Q1 2025: $1.58Q2 2025: $1.11Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.37Forward: $3.32
Q4 2023: $2.01Q1 2024: $1.56Q2 2024: $1.52Q3 2024: $1.30Q4 2024: $1.64Q1 2025: $1.58Q2 2025: $1.11Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.37Forward: $3.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.32+142%
Q3 2026$1.37+15%
Q2 2026$1.15+3.6%
Q1 2026$1.02-35%
Q4 2025$1.25-24%
Q3 2025$1.19-8.5%
Q2 2025$1.11-27%
Q1 2025$1.58+1.3%
Q4 2024$1.64-18%

PMTS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.37 over the past year, against $3.54 in mid-2023.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over PMTS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PMTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $125MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $138MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $149MQ3 2026: $158M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $125MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $138MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $149MQ3 2026: $158M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$158.4M+15%
Q2 2026$149.2M+15%
Q1 2026$147.1M+20%
Q4 2025$153.1M+22%
Q3 2025$138M+11%
Q2 2025$129.8M+9.2%
Q1 2025$122.8M+9.7%
Q4 2024$125.1M+22%

PMTS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $158M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

PMTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $292,000Q2 2025: $533,000Q3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $292,000Q2 2025: $533,000Q3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.1M+90%
Q2 2026$25.9M+4762%
Q1 2026$10.1M+3371%
Q4 2025$35.2M+63%
Q3 2025$5.3M-52%
Q2 2025$533K+$6.5M
Q1 2025$292K-96%
Q4 2024$21.6M+89%

PMTS has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over PMTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PMTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+127K shares
1 year+2.6%+313K shares
3 years+2.9%+339K shares
5 years+3.1%+367K shares
Available history+8.7%+970K shares

PMTS has 12M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over PMTS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PMTS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.0xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xHigh
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

PMTS's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PMTS.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

PMTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.1Neutral
Stochastic40.6Neutral

PMTS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PMTS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPMTSSector medianRelative
PE18x13x41% above
PE %846321 pts above

PMTS has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

PMTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.30.6% below
20 week MA$24.52.7% above
50 week MA$19.231% above
100 week MA$20.721% above
200 week MA$22.99.8% above

PMTS has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

PMTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.82$4.25+418%
2021$4.25$20.1+373%
2022$20.1$35.1+75%
2023$35.1$19.2-45%
2024$19.2$31.9+66%
2025$31.9$15.2-52%
2026 YTD$15.2$25.2+65%

PMTS has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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