HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over OTF overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
OTF
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
OTF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
OTF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
OTF's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OTF.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over OTF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
OTF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7x | $5.86 | -38% |
| Forward | 7.2x | $9.46 | — |
| Fair | 8.9x | $7.48 | -21% |
| Current | 11x | $9.46 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $9.77 | +3.3% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OTF's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over OTF on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
OTF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OTF, but weaker profitability.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over OTF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OTF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.32 | +57% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.84 | -51% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.86 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.96 | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.76 | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.73 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.41 | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.52 | -16% |
OTF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.84 over the past year, against $1.80 in late 2023.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OTF Quarterly Revenue
OTF and HOOD do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over OTF on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
OTF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181.6M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | -$316.7M | +$93.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$197.3M | -136% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -846% |
| Q3 2025 | $158.7M | +$312.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$410.2M | -$387.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $542.2M | +586% |
| Q4 2024 | $161.7M | -36% |
OTF's free cash flow was −$1.5B over the past year, against $452M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OTF.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
OTF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -4.7M shares |
| 1 year | -2.3% | -10.5M shares |
| 3 years | +122% | +251M shares |
OTF has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $55.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $50.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $64.6M |
OTF spent $225M buying back its own shares over the past year.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
OTF Net Leverage
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
OTF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.0 | Neutral |
OTF's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
OTF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | OTF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 13% below |
| PE % | 75 | 12 | 63 pts above |
OTF has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has stronger trend alignment. HOOD is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus OTF above 0 of 3.
OTF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.50 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.3 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 17% below |
OTF is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 50-week average.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD has the edge over OTF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OTF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $16.0 | $14.1 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.1 | $9.46 | -33% |
OTF has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 33% so far in 2026.