HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 38x earnings, below its usual 51x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

OSG

Octave Specialty Group, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OSG yet.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

OSG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

OSG's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OSG.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35โ€”
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35โ€”
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

OSG PE Valuation

OSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OSG to return to profit, with revenue growing.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HOOD and OSG's risk to reward.

OSG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $5.09 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HOOD and OSG's risk to reward.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over OSG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OSG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-11.62Q1 2025: $-13.27Q2 2025: $-14.79Q3 2025: $-16.51Q4 2025: $-5.93Q1 2026: $-4.84Q2 2026: $-3.63Q3 2026: $-1.59Forward: $0.48
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-11.62Q1 2025: $-13.27Q2 2025: $-14.79Q3 2025: $-16.51Q4 2025: $-5.93Q1 2026: $-4.84Q2 2026: $-3.63Q3 2026: $-1.59Forward: $0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.48โ€”
Q3 2026-$1.59+$14.92
Q2 2026-$3.63+$11.16
Q1 2026-$4.84+$8.43
Q4 2025-$5.93+$5.69
Q3 2025-$16.51-$16.08
Q2 2025-$14.79-1019%
Q1 2025-$13.27-1090%
Q4 2024-$11.62-6556%

OSG is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.59 per share over the past year, against $16.51 at its worst in late 2025.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over OSG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: โˆ’$85MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $55MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: โˆ’$85MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $55MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$85.3M+28%
Q2 2026$83M+51%
Q1 2026$104.2M+66%
Q3 2025$66.6M-42%
Q2 2025$55M-48%
Q1 2025$62.8M-39%
Q3 2024$114M+54%
Q2 2024$105M+69%

OSG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $85M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: โˆ’$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: โˆ’$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: โˆ’$1.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 1,003% versus its history, compared with OSG at down 101%.

OSG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $88MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: โˆ’$27MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$666,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$10MQ2 2026: โˆ’$10MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $88MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: โˆ’$27MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$666,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$10MQ2 2026: โˆ’$10MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$10.2M-576%
Q1 2026-$10.1M+$2.5M
Q4 2025-$666K+$26.6M
Q1 2025-$12.6M-170%
Q4 2024-$27.2M-131%
Q1 2024$18M-77%
Q4 2023$88M-93%
Q3 2023$11M-77%

OSG's free cash flow was โˆ’$2M over the past year, against โˆ’$20M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OSG.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

OSG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+28.8K shares
1 year-5.6%-2.7M shares
3 years-3%-1.4M shares
5 years-3.5%-1.6M shares
Available history-0.3%-158K shares

OSG has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

OSG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.7xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 20.4x
Q4 2023: 11.7xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 20.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202420.4xHigh
Q2 20244.2xHigh
Q1 20244.7xHigh
Q4 202311.7xHigh
Q3 20232.0xModerate
Q2 20230.9xVery low
Q1 20230.9xVery low
Q4 20221.1xHealthy

OSG's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OSG.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

OSG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic59.9Neutral

OSG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OSG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOSGSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

OSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

OSG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.747.4% above
20 week MA$5.041% above
50 week MA$5.527.8% below
100 week MA$7.2230% below
200 week MA$10.752% below

OSG has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD has the edge over OSG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OSG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.6$16.7-23%
2021$16.7$15.5-7.4%
2022$15.5$16.7+7.6%
2023$16.7$16.5-1%
2024$16.5$12.3-25%
2025$12.3$8.00-35%
2026 YTD$8.00$5.09-36%

OSG has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 36% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key