HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over OBDC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

OBDC

Blue Owl Capital Corporation

42
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

OBDC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

OBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

OBDC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OBDC.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over OBDC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$5.31-51%
Forward8.1x$10.90—
Fair9.4x$6.39-41%
Expensive16x$11.04+1.3%
Current16x$10.90—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OBDC's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.1x, in its cheap range.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over OBDC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OBDC's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OBDC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$12.67
Downside-14%$9.37

Calculated from the latest close: $10.90 on Nov 12.

OBDC trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over OBDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OBDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.03Q1 2024: $1.98Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.61Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.41Q4 2025: $1.24Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.68Forward: $1.34
Q4 2023: $2.03Q1 2024: $1.98Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.61Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.41Q4 2025: $1.24Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.68Forward: $1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.34+97%
Q3 2026$0.68-52%
Q2 2026$0.56-63%
Q1 2026$0.70-55%
Q4 2025$1.24-19%
Q3 2025$1.41-12%
Q2 2025$1.51-16%
Q1 2025$1.55-22%
Q4 2024$1.53-25%

OBDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.68 over the past year, against $2.22 in early 2021.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for HOOD versus down 81% for OBDC.

OBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$39.8M-81%
Q1 2022$112.4M-48%
Q4 2021$241.8M+6%
Q3 2021$212.7M-2%
Q2 2021$212.4M-31%
Q4 2020$228M+64%

OBDC's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $40M last quarter, down 81% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

OBDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $444MQ2 2024: −$726MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$131MQ4 2025: $823MQ1 2026: $967MQ2 2026: $547MQ3 2026: $63M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $444MQ2 2024: −$726MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$131MQ4 2025: $823MQ1 2026: $967MQ2 2026: $547MQ3 2026: $63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$62.6M+$193.5M
Q2 2026$547.3M-46%
Q1 2026$967.4M+2384%
Q4 2025$822.9M+85%
Q3 2025-$131M-$127.4M
Q2 2025$1B+$1.7B
Q1 2025$38.9M-91%
Q4 2024$446M+7.8%

OBDC's free cash flow was $2.4B over the past year, up 76% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OBDC.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

OBDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 390MQ1 2024: 390MQ2 2024: 390MQ3 2024: 390MQ1 2025: 495MQ2 2025: 511MQ3 2025: 511MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 499MQ2 2026: 495MQ3 2026: 492M
Q4 2023: 390MQ1 2024: 390MQ2 2024: 390MQ3 2024: 390MQ1 2025: 495MQ2 2025: 511MQ3 2025: 511MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 499MQ2 2026: 495MQ3 2026: 492M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-3.1M shares
1 year-3.7%-18.8M shares
3 years+26%+102M shares
5 years+26%+100M shares
Available history+26%+103M shares

OBDC has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

OBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202219.9xHigh
Q1 202212.8xHigh
Q4 202110.3xHigh
Q3 20219.5xHigh
Q2 20218.1xHigh
Q1 20216.1xHigh
Q4 202012.6xHigh
Q3 202011.8xHigh

OBDC's net debt is about 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OBDC.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

OBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.1Neutral
Stochastic42.9Neutral

OBDC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOBDCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x23% above
PE %826319 pts above

OBDC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

OBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.54.3% above
20 week MA$10.90.2% above
50 week MA$11.33.9% below
100 week MA$12.815% below
200 week MA$13.620% below

OBDC has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

OBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$13.0-32%
2021$13.0$14.4+11%
2022$14.4$11.9-18%
2023$11.9$14.8+24%
2024$14.8$15.5+4.8%
2025$15.5$12.7-18%
2026 YTD$12.7$10.9-14%

OBDC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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