HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over NEWT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

NEWT

NewtekOne, Inc.

44
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

NEWT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

NEWT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

NEWT's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NEWT.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

NEWT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.2x$10.44—
Cheap5.5x$10.25-1.8%
Current5.6x$10.44—
Fair7.1x$13.41+28%
Expensive10x$19.07+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NEWT has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over NEWT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NEWT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NEWT's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NEWT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NEWT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$13.23
Downside-21%$8.24

Calculated from the latest close: $10.44 on Nov 12.

NEWT trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

NEWT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.46Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $2.02Q3 2025: $2.24Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.21Q3 2026: $1.88Forward: $2.02
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.46Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $2.02Q3 2025: $2.24Q4 2025: $2.18Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.21Q3 2026: $1.88Forward: $2.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.02+7.3%
Q3 2026$1.88-16%
Q2 2026$2.21+9.4%
Q1 2026$2.26+17%
Q4 2025$2.18+11%
Q3 2025$2.24+32%
Q2 2025$2.02+24%
Q1 2025$1.93+32%
Q4 2024$1.96+27%

NEWT earned $1.88 per share over the past year, down 16% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over NEWT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NEWT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$71.8M-4.2%
Q2 2026$75.1M+7%
Q1 2026$71M+7%
Q4 2025$73.3M-2.7%
Q3 2025$74.9M+19%
Q2 2025$70.2M+15%
Q1 2025$66.3M+14%
Q4 2024$75.4M+42%

NEWT's revenue has held roughly level: $72M last quarter, down 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over NEWT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

NEWT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$26MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: −$167MQ4 2025: −$151MQ1 2026: −$258MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: −$152M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$26MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: −$167MQ4 2025: −$151MQ1 2026: −$258MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: −$152M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$152.4M+$14.9M
Q2 2026-$163.3M+$36.6M
Q1 2026-$257.5M-$196.8M
Q4 2025-$151.4M-$59.8M
Q3 2025-$167.3M-$141.4M
Q2 2025-$199.9M-7108%
Q1 2025-$60.7M-$22M
Q4 2024-$91.7M-$39M

NEWT's free cash flow was −$725M over the past year, against −$520M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NEWT.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over NEWT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NEWT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+51K shares
1 year+10%+2.7M shares
3 years+16%+4M shares

NEWT has 29M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

NEWT Net Leverage

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NEWT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.9Neutral
Stochastic2.7Oversold

NEWT's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NEWT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNEWTSector medianRelative
PE5.6x13x57% below
PE %196344 pts below

NEWT has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over NEWT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NEWT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.04.7% below
20 week MA$12.416% below
50 week MA$12.617% below
100 week MA$12.114% below
200 week MA$13.019% below

NEWT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

NEWT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.7$18.2-20%
2021$18.2$27.9+54%
2022$27.9$16.7-40%
2023$16.7$13.8-17%
2024$13.8$13.0-5.7%
2025$13.0$11.5-12%
2026 YTD$11.5$10.4-9.1%

NEWT has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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