HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over MSIF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
MSIF
MSC Income Fund, Inc.
MSIF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
MSIF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MSIF's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSIF.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
MSIF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.4x | $12.44 | — |
| Cheap | 7.8x | $13.06 | +5% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $14.90 | +20% |
| Forward | 8.9x | $12.44 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $16.73 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSIF has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over MSIF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
MSIF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MSIF's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
MSIF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.39 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.68 | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.63 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.33 | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.59 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.42 | +97% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.05 | +46% |
MSIF has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for HOOD versus down 43% for MSIF.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSIF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $13.1M | -43% |
| Q3 2022 | $17.1M | -6.1% |
| Q2 2022 | $3.7M | -85% |
| Q1 2022 | $17.9M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2021 | $23.1M | +42% |
| Q3 2021 | $18.2M | -55% |
| Q2 2021 | $24.7M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2020 | $16.3M | +230% |
MSIF's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $13M last quarter, down 43% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 92% | -2.3 points |
| Q3 2022 | 94% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2022 | 68% | -29 points |
| Q1 2022 | 93% | +14 points |
| Q4 2021 | 94% | +5.4 points |
| Q3 2021 | 92% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2021 | 97% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2021 | 80% | N/A |
MSIF's operating margin was 92% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over MSIF on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MSIF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $31.9M | +117% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | -49% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.4M | +$54.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.5M | -$30.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.9M | +$61.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$72.5M | -$60.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$14.7M | -136% |
MSIF's free cash flow was −$15M over the past year, against −$40M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
MSIF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -7.9K shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -35M shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +5.4M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +5.8M shares |
MSIF has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $671,000 |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $16M |
| Q4 2025 | $9M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $146,000 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $4M |
MSIF spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
MSIF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2022 | 8,292.9x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 8,673.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 7,131.8x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 6,517.7x | High |
MSIF's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MSIF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.7 | Neutral |
MSIF's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MSIF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MSIF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4x | 13x | 43% below |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
MSIF has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
MSIF has stronger trend alignment. HOOD is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus MSIF above 3 of 3.
MSIF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.0 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.0 | 3.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.4 | 0% above |
MSIF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 0% above its 50-week average.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
MSIF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $16.3 | $13.6 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.6 | $12.4 | -8.8% |
MSIF has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.