HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MKTX

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

67
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MKTX has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

MKTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MKTX's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MKTX.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

MKTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current20x$165—
Forward20x$165—
Cheap29x$238+44%
Fair40x$328+99%
Expensive66x$535+224%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKTX has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over MKTX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

MKTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MKTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MKTX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MKTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$207.25
Downside-13%$144.14

Calculated from the latest close: $165.16 on Nov 12.

MKTX trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over MKTX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.85Q1 2024: $6.81Q2 2024: $6.94Q3 2024: $7.38Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $5.76Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $5.89Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $8.44Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.15Forward: $8.43
Q4 2023: $6.85Q1 2024: $6.81Q2 2024: $6.94Q3 2024: $7.38Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $5.76Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $5.89Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $8.44Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.15Forward: $8.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.43+3.4%
Q3 2026$8.15+38%
Q2 2026$8.46+42%
Q1 2026$8.44+47%
Q4 2025$6.64-8.8%
Q3 2025$5.89-20%
Q2 2025$5.95-14%
Q1 2025$5.76-15%
Q4 2024$7.28+6.3%

MKTX earned $8.15 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over MKTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $209MQ1 2026: $233MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $210M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $209MQ1 2026: $233MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $210M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$210.4M+0.8%
Q2 2026$218.4M-0.5%
Q1 2026$233.4M+12%
Q4 2025$209.4M+3.5%
Q3 2025$208.8M+1%
Q2 2025$219.5M+11%
Q3 2022$172.1M+6.2%
Q2 2022$182.2M+3.3%

MKTX's revenue has held roughly level: $210M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over MKTX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $247M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $247M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$246.7M+178%
Q2 2026$26.2M-74%
Q1 2026-$75.6M-373%
Q4 2025$155.1M-12%
Q3 2025$88.7M-5.9%
Q2 2025$102.5M-7.8%
Q1 2025$27.7M+$33.8M
Q4 2024$176M+26%

MKTX's free cash flow was $352M over the past year, down 11% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MKTX.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

MKTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+36K shares
1 year-4.9%-1.8M shares
3 years-6.1%-2.3M shares
5 years-7.4%-2.8M shares
Available history-7.1%-2.7M shares

MKTX has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over MKTX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MKTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

MKTX has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MKTX.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MKTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic93.0Overbought

MKTX's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MKTX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMKTXSector medianRelative
PE20x13x56% above
PE %76356 pts below

MKTX has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

MKTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$164.80.2% above
20 week MA$154.17.2% above
50 week MA$158.54.2% above
100 week MA$180.68.5% below
200 week MA$219.825% below

MKTX has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

MKTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$375.0$573.1+53%
2021$573.1$410.7-28%
2022$410.7$280.9-32%
2023$280.9$292.9+4.3%
2024$292.9$229.0-22%
2025$229.0$182.9-20%
2026 YTD$182.9$165.2-9.7%

MKTX has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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