HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has a slight edge over MC overall, supported by stronger valuation.
MC
Moelis & Company
MC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
MC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MC.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over MC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $35.85 | -36% |
| Forward | 16x | $56.01 | — |
| Current | 19x | $56.01 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $60.15 | +7.4% |
| Expensive | 38x | $112 | +101% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MC's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
MC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.55 | +21% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.94 | -1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.87 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.78 | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.94 | +67% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.99 | +464% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.54 | +1593% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.18 | +$2.37 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.76 | +$2.12 |
MC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.94 over the past year, against $5.90 in late 2021.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over MC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over MC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $409.4M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.8M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $487.9M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $356.9M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $365.4M | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $306.6M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $438.7M | +104% |
| Q3 2024 | $273.8M | +0.6% |
MC's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $409M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | -3.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +34 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.7% | +13 points |
MC's operating margin was 18% last quarter, up 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
MC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $250.2M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $218M | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | -$291.6M | -$123M |
| Q4 2025 | $329.6M | +5.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $179.6M | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $199.4M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | -$168.6M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $313M | +233% |
MC has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
MC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -1.4M shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -994K shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +9.3M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +9.8M shares |
| Available history | +39% | +21.7M shares |
MC has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $23.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $117.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $46.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $1M |
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over MC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
MC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MC.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.3 | Neutral |
MC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 46% above |
| PE % | 44 | 63 | 19 pts below |
MC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has the edge over MC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $56.6 | 1% below |
| 20 week MA | $62.6 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $64.5 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $65.3 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $59.0 | 5.1% below |
MC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.1% below its 200-week average.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
MC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.8 | $47.2 | +44% |
| 2021 | $47.2 | $62.4 | +32% |
| 2022 | $62.4 | $39.0 | -37% |
| 2023 | $39.0 | $56.1 | +44% |
| 2024 | $56.1 | $74.5 | +33% |
| 2025 | $74.5 | $71.6 | -3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $71.6 | $56.0 | -22% |
MC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.