HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LPLA

LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

73
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

LPLA has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

LPLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

LPLA's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LPLA.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over LPLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LPLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$292—
Cheap15x$264-9.6%
Current17x$292—
Fair24x$417+43%
Expensive30x$516+77%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LPLA's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LPLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LPLA, with profitability improving.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD trails LPLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LPLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$451.22
Downside-12%$258.65

Calculated from the latest close: $292.27 on Nov 12.

LPLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HOOD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over LPLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LPLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.69Q1 2024: $13.28Q2 2024: $12.86Q3 2024: $13.34Q4 2024: $14.03Q1 2025: $14.44Q2 2025: $14.61Q3 2025: $10.85Q4 2025: $10.92Q1 2026: $11.11Q2 2026: $12.45Q3 2026: $17.34Forward: $27.87
Q4 2023: $13.69Q1 2024: $13.28Q2 2024: $12.86Q3 2024: $13.34Q4 2024: $14.03Q1 2025: $14.44Q2 2025: $14.61Q3 2025: $10.85Q4 2025: $10.92Q1 2026: $11.11Q2 2026: $12.45Q3 2026: $17.34Forward: $27.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$27.87+61%
Q3 2026$17.34+60%
Q2 2026$12.45-15%
Q1 2026$11.11-23%
Q4 2025$10.92-22%
Q3 2025$10.85-19%
Q2 2025$14.61+14%
Q1 2025$14.44+8.7%
Q4 2024$14.03+2.5%

LPLA earned $17.34 per share over the past year, up 60% from the year before.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over LPLA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LPLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.3B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.3B+17%
Q2 2026$5.2B+35%
Q1 2026$4.9B+35%
Q4 2025$4.9B+40%
Q3 2025$4.6B+46%
Q2 2025$3.8B+31%
Q1 2025$3.7B+30%
Q4 2024$3.5B+33%

LPLA's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $5.3B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over LPLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LPLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$308MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$344MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: −$1.9BQ4 2025: $613MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$308MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$344MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: −$1.9BQ4 2025: $613MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.5M+$1.9B
Q2 2026$202.5M+260%
Q1 2026$124.6M-43%
Q4 2025$613.3M+$957.6M
Q3 2025-$1.9B-3106%
Q2 2025$56.3M+$364.1M
Q1 2025$220.3M-28%
Q4 2024-$344.3M-1038%

LPLA's free cash flow was $1B over the past year, against −$1.9B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like LPLA.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

LPLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 79M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 79M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.1M shares
1 year-1.7%-1.4M shares
3 years+2.4%+1.8M shares
5 years-3.5%-2.9M shares
Available history-6.7%-5.7M shares

LPLA has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over LPLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LPLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

LPLA's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like LPLA.

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LPLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

LPLA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LPLA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLPLASector medianRelative
PE17x13x29% above
PE %276336 pts below

LPLA has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

LPLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$308.75.3% below
20 week MA$329.811% below
50 week MA$326.310% below
100 week MA$339.214% below
200 week MA$289.80.9% above

LPLA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 0.9% above its 200-week average.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

LPLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.6$103.8+12%
2021$103.8$162.6+57%
2022$162.6$215.8+33%
2023$215.8$227.6+5.5%
2024$227.6$331.9+46%
2025$331.9$372.2+12%
2026 YTD$372.2$292.3-21%

LPLA has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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