HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over HTH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
HTH
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
HTH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
HTH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HTH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTH.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over HTH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HTH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $15.72 | -56% |
| Fair | 14x | $34.01 | -5.8% |
| Current | 15x | $36.10 | — |
| Forward | 16x | $36.10 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $43.63 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HTH's PE is in its fair range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its expensive range.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over HTH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
HTH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HTH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
HTH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.23 | -7% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.40 | -4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.70 | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.64 | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.51 | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.23 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.97 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.74 | +3% |
HTH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.40 over the past year, against $5.93 in early 2021.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over HTH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over HTH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HTH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $309.5M | -6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $315.8M | +4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $300.5M | -5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $329.9M | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $330.2M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $303.3M | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $318.5M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $301.1M | +3.7% |
HTH's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $310M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | +4.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +1.5 points |
HTH's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over HTH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HTH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $503.6M | +86% |
| Q2 2026 | -$162.8M | +$71.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$133.9M | -2757% |
| Q4 2025 | -$97M | -180% |
| Q3 2025 | $271M | -47% |
| Q2 2025 | -$234.6M | +$202.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $5M | -93% |
| Q4 2024 | $121.9M | -53% |
HTH's free cash flow was $110M over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTH.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
HTH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -808K shares |
| 1 year | -8.1% | -5M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -8M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -23.4M shares |
| Available history | -38% | -35.3M shares |
HTH has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20M |
| Q2 2026 | $47M |
| Q1 2026 | $47.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $60.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $55.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $34.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $33.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HTH spent $175M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
HTH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6x | High |
HTH has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
HTH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.6 | Neutral |
HTH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HTH PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HTH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 16% above |
| PE % | 61 | 63 | 2 pts below |
HTH has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
HTH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $37.0 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $38.2 | 5.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $37.3 | 3.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $34.2 | 5.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $32.7 | 10% above |
HTH has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
HTH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.6 | $27.3 | +11% |
| 2021 | $27.3 | $34.7 | +27% |
| 2022 | $34.7 | $29.7 | -14% |
| 2023 | $29.7 | $35.2 | +19% |
| 2024 | $35.2 | $28.9 | -18% |
| 2025 | $28.9 | $34.6 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $34.6 | $36.1 | +4.3% |
HTH has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.