HON

Honeywell International Inc.

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

HON has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over HON overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

HON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

HON's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue is weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$223—
Cheap20x$438+96%
Fair23x$515+130%
Forward24x$223—
Expensive28x$628+181%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HON's PE is in its cheap range at 10x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24x, in its fair range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Strong decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HON's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over HON on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

HON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$261.36
Downside-28%$160.09

Calculated from the latest close: $223.45 on Nov 12.

HON trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HON, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.94Q1 2024: $17.26Q2 2024: $17.54Q3 2024: $17.32Q4 2024: $17.42Q1 2025: $17.40Q2 2025: $17.58Q3 2025: $18.98Q4 2025: $14.70Q1 2026: $12.84Q2 2026: $25.77Q3 2026: $22.13Forward: $9.49
Q4 2023: $16.94Q1 2024: $17.26Q2 2024: $17.54Q3 2024: $17.32Q4 2024: $17.42Q1 2025: $17.40Q2 2025: $17.58Q3 2025: $18.98Q4 2025: $14.70Q1 2026: $12.84Q2 2026: $25.77Q3 2026: $22.13Forward: $9.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.49-57%
Q3 2026$22.13+17%
Q2 2026$25.77+47%
Q1 2026$12.84-26%
Q4 2025$14.70-16%
Q3 2025$18.98+9.6%
Q2 2025$17.58+0.2%
Q1 2025$17.40+0.8%
Q4 2024$17.42+2.8%

HON has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

HON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $9.1BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.7BQ4 2024: $10.1BQ1 2025: $9.8BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $10.4BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: $9.1BQ2 2026: $9.7BQ3 2026: $5B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $9.1BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.7BQ4 2024: $10.1BQ1 2025: $9.8BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $10.4BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: $9.1BQ2 2026: $9.7BQ3 2026: $5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5B-52%
Q2 2026$9.7B-6.1%
Q1 2026$9.1B-6.9%
Q4 2025$9.8B-3.3%
Q3 2025$10.4B+7%
Q2 2025$10.4B+8.1%
Q1 2025$9.8B+7.9%
Q4 2024$10.1B+6.9%

HON's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $5B last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over HON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$873MQ2 2026: $961MQ3 2026: $286M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$873MQ2 2026: $961MQ3 2026: $286M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$286M-90%
Q2 2026$961M-5.4%
Q1 2026-$873M-352%
Q4 2025$1.1B-39%
Q3 2025$2.9B+70%
Q2 2025$1B-8.6%
Q1 2025$346M+61%
Q4 2024$1.9B-27%

HON has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

HON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 327MQ3 2024: 327MQ4 2024: 328MQ1 2025: 326MQ2 2025: 320MQ3 2025: 319MQ4 2025: 321MQ1 2026: 319MQ2 2026: 319MQ3 2026: 319M
Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 327MQ3 2024: 327MQ4 2024: 328MQ1 2025: 326MQ2 2025: 320MQ3 2025: 319MQ4 2025: 321MQ1 2026: 319MQ2 2026: 319MQ3 2026: 319M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+600K shares
1 year-0.1%-200K shares
3 years-4.3%-14.3M shares
5 years-8.7%-30.3M shares
Available history-13%-46M shares

HON has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

HON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

HON's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic45.0Neutral

HON's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HON PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHONSector medianRelative
PE10x24x58% below
PE %45854 pts below

HON is trading at 10x earnings, a 58% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$216.13.4% above
20 week MA$221.40.9% above
50 week MA$223.80.1% below
100 week MA$215.23.9% above
200 week MA$203.79.7% above

HON has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

HON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$169.2$200.8+19%
2021$200.8$196.7-2.1%
2022$196.7$205.0+4.2%
2023$205.0$201.0-1.9%
2024$201.0$220.0+9.4%
2025$220.0$200.7-8.8%
2026 YTD$200.7$223.5+11%

HON has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over HON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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