HNST

The Honest Company, Inc.

49
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

HNST offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over HNST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HNST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Strong
Strong

HNST's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

HNST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x85x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x85x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7x$4.80—
Cheap41x$28.21+488%
Fair45x$31.17+549%
Forward60x$4.80—
Expensive78x$53.97+1024%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HNST has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

HNST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HNST's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HNST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$7.48
Downside-35%$3.10

Calculated from the latest close: $4.80 on Nov 12.

HNST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails HNST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HNST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.08
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08-88%
Q3 2026$0.69+1050%
Q2 2026-$0.11-320%
Q1 2026-$0.17-$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.14-$0.08
Q3 2025$0.06+$0.10
Q2 2025$0.05+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.02+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.06+$0.36

HNST has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

HNST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $86MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $86MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.6M-8.6%
Q2 2026$83.3M-11%
Q1 2026$78.1M-20%
Q4 2025$88M-12%
Q3 2025$92.6M-6.7%
Q2 2025$93.5M+0.4%
Q1 2025$97.3M+13%
Q4 2024$99.8M+11%

HNST's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over HNST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HNST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $260,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$826,000Q3 2025: −$624,000Q4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $260,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$826,000Q3 2025: −$624,000Q4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.8M-$4.1M
Q2 2026$31.5M+$32.3M
Q1 2026$3.8M+$6.8M
Q4 2025$18.1M+$35.2M
Q3 2025-$624K-104%
Q2 2025-$826K-128%
Q1 2025-$3M-1254%
Q4 2024-$17.2M-278%

HNST's free cash flow has turned positive again: $49M over the past year, against −$22M the year before.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

HNST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 111MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 111MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-627K shares
1 year-1.1%-1.2M shares
3 years+18%+17.3M shares
5 years+65%+44.4M shares
Available history+29%+25.3M shares

HNST has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HNST Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -218.7xQ2 2025: -9.9xQ3 2025: -9.4x
Q1 2025: -218.7xQ2 2025: -9.9xQ3 2025: -9.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-9.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-9.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-218.7xNet Cash

HNST has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

HNST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.0Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

HNST's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

HNST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHNSTSector medianRelative
PE7x18x61% below
PE %35350 pts below

HNST has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

HNST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.871.4% below
20 week MA$4.790.2% above
50 week MA$3.6930% above
100 week MA$4.1915% above
200 week MA$3.5436% above

HNST's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 36% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over HNST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HNST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.1$8.07-58%
2022$8.07$2.97-63%
2023$2.97$3.30+11%
2024$3.30$6.93+110%
2025$6.93$2.71-61%
2026 YTD$2.71$4.80+77%

HNST has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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