HNST

The Honest Company, Inc.

49
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

HNST's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over HNST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HNST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Strong
Strong

HNST's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HNST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x85x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x85x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7x$4.80—
Cheap41x$28.21+488%
Fair45x$31.17+549%
Forward60x$4.80—
Expensive78x$53.97+1024%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HNST's PE is 7.0x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HNST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HNST's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over HNST on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HNST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$7.48
Downside-35%$3.10

Calculated from the latest close: $4.80 on Nov 12.

HNST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails HNST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HNST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.08
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08-88%
Q3 2026$0.69+1050%
Q2 2026-$0.11-320%
Q1 2026-$0.17-$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.14-$0.08
Q3 2025$0.06+$0.10
Q2 2025$0.05+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.02+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.06+$0.36

HNST has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

HNST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $86MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $86MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.6M-8.6%
Q2 2026$83.3M-11%
Q1 2026$78.1M-20%
Q4 2025$88M-12%
Q3 2025$92.6M-6.7%
Q2 2025$93.5M+0.4%
Q1 2025$97.3M+13%
Q4 2024$99.8M+11%

HNST's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over HNST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HNST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $260,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$826,000Q3 2025: −$624,000Q4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $260,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$826,000Q3 2025: −$624,000Q4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.8M-$4.1M
Q2 2026$31.5M+$32.3M
Q1 2026$3.8M+$6.8M
Q4 2025$18.1M+$35.2M
Q3 2025-$624K-104%
Q2 2025-$826K-128%
Q1 2025-$3M-1254%
Q4 2024-$17.2M-278%

HNST has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

HNST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 111MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 111MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-627K shares
1 year-1.1%-1.2M shares
3 years+18%+17.3M shares
5 years+65%+44.4M shares
Available history+29%+25.3M shares

HNST has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

HNST Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -218.7xQ2 2025: -9.9xQ3 2025: -9.4x
Q1 2025: -218.7xQ2 2025: -9.9xQ3 2025: -9.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-9.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-9.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-218.7xNet Cash

HNST has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HNST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.0Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

HNST's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

HNST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHNSTSector medianRelative
PE7x18x61% below
PE %35350 pts below

HNST is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 61% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HNST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.871.4% below
20 week MA$4.790.2% above
50 week MA$3.6930% above
100 week MA$4.1915% above
200 week MA$3.5436% above

HNST has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

HNST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.1$8.07-58%
2022$8.07$2.97-63%
2023$2.97$3.30+11%
2024$3.30$6.93+110%
2025$6.93$2.71-61%
2026 YTD$2.71$4.80+77%

HNST has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key