HNST
The Honest Company, Inc.
HNST offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over HNST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
HNST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
HNST's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
HNST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7x | $4.80 | — |
| Cheap | 41x | $28.21 | +488% |
| Fair | 45x | $31.17 | +549% |
| Forward | 60x | $4.80 | — |
| Expensive | 78x | $53.97 | +1024% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HNST's PE is 7.0x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HNST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HNST's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over HNST on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
HNST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.08 | -88% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.69 | +1050% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.11 | -320% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.17 | -$0.15 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.14 | -$0.08 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.06 | +$0.10 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.02 | +$0.21 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.06 | +$0.36 |
HNST has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
HNST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84.6M | -8.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.3M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $78.1M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $88M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $92.6M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $93.5M | +0.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $97.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $99.8M | +11% |
HNST's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4% | +1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +8.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -27% | -26 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1% | +7.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1% | -2.3 points |
HNST has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over HNST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HNST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.8M | -$4.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +$32.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8M | +$6.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $18.1M | +$35.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$624K | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | -$826K | -128% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3M | -1254% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.2M | -278% |
HNST's free cash flow has turned positive again: $49M over the past year, against −$22M the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over HNST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HNST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -627K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -1.2M shares |
| 3 years | +18% | +17.3M shares |
| 5 years | +65% | +44.4M shares |
| Available history | +29% | +25.3M shares |
HNST has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
HNST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -9.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -218.7x | Net Cash |
HNST has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
HNST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.6 | Neutral |
HNST's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
HNST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HNST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7x | 18x | 61% below |
| PE % | 3 | 53 | 50 pts below |
HNST is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 61% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HNST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.87 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.79 | 0.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.69 | 30% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.19 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.54 | 36% above |
HNST has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
HNST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $19.1 | $8.07 | -58% |
| 2022 | $8.07 | $2.97 | -63% |
| 2023 | $2.97 | $3.30 | +11% |
| 2024 | $3.30 | $6.93 | +110% |
| 2025 | $6.93 | $2.71 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.71 | $4.80 | +77% |
HNST has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.