HNST

The Honest Company, Inc.

49
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

HNST has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has a slight edge over HNST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

HNST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Strong
Strong

HNST's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HNST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x85x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x85x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7x$4.80—
Cheap41x$28.21+488%
Fair45x$31.17+549%
Forward60x$4.80—
Expensive78x$53.97+1024%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HNST's PE is 7.0x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HNST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HNST's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HNST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$7.48
Downside-35%$3.10

Calculated from the latest close: $4.80 on Nov 12.

HNST trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HNST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HNST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.08
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08-88%
Q3 2026$0.69+1050%
Q2 2026-$0.11-320%
Q1 2026-$0.17-$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.14-$0.08
Q3 2025$0.06+$0.10
Q2 2025$0.05+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.02+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.06+$0.36

HNST has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

HNST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $86MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $86MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.6M-8.6%
Q2 2026$83.3M-11%
Q1 2026$78.1M-20%
Q4 2025$88M-12%
Q3 2025$92.6M-6.7%
Q2 2025$93.5M+0.4%
Q1 2025$97.3M+13%
Q4 2024$99.8M+11%

HNST's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over HNST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HNST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $260,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$826,000Q3 2025: −$624,000Q4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $260,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$826,000Q3 2025: −$624,000Q4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.8M-$4.1M
Q2 2026$31.5M+$32.3M
Q1 2026$3.8M+$6.8M
Q4 2025$18.1M+$35.2M
Q3 2025-$624K-104%
Q2 2025-$826K-128%
Q1 2025-$3M-1254%
Q4 2024-$17.2M-278%

HNST has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

HNST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 111MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 111MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-627K shares
1 year-1.1%-1.2M shares
3 years+18%+17.3M shares
5 years+65%+44.4M shares
Available history+29%+25.3M shares

HNST has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

HNST Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -218.7xQ2 2025: -9.9xQ3 2025: -9.4x
Q1 2025: -218.7xQ2 2025: -9.9xQ3 2025: -9.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-9.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-9.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-218.7xNet Cash

HNST has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HNST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.0Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

HNST's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

HNST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHNSTSector medianRelative
PE7x18x61% below
PE %35350 pts below

HNST is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 61% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HNST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.871.4% below
20 week MA$4.790.2% above
50 week MA$3.6930% above
100 week MA$4.1915% above
200 week MA$3.5436% above

HNST has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

HNST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.1$8.07-58%
2022$8.07$2.97-63%
2023$2.97$3.30+11%
2024$3.30$6.93+110%
2025$6.93$2.71-61%
2026 YTD$2.71$4.80+77%

HNST has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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