HNGE

Hinge Health, Inc.

68
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

HNGE has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HNGE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

HNGE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

HNGE PE Valuation

HNGE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HNGE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

HNGE has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HNGE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$188.65
Downside-34%$80.15

Calculated from the latest close: $120.99 on Nov 12.

HNGE trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HNGE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HNGE Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-1.27Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $1.76Q2 2025: $-11.20Q3 2025: $-11.22Forward: $2.92
Q1 2024: $-1.27Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $1.76Q2 2025: $-11.20Q3 2025: $-11.22Forward: $2.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.92—
Q3 2025-$11.22-$10.43
Q2 2025-$11.20-$10.20
Q1 2025$1.76+$3.03

HNGE lost $11.22 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over HNGE in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

HNGE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $82MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $101MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: $182MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $235M
Q4 2023: $82MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $101MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: $182MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $235M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$235M+52%
Q2 2026$212.8M+53%
Q1 2026$182.3M+47%
Q4 2025$170.7M+46%
Q3 2025$154.2M+53%
Q2 2025$139.1M+55%
Q1 2025$123.8M+50%
Q4 2024$117.3M+44%

HNGE has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

HNGE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $114M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $114M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$114.2M+39%
Q1 2026$43M+932%
Q4 2025$63.5M+70%
Q3 2025$82.3M+193%
Q1 2025$4.2M+$37.8M

HNGE has the edge over UNH in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

HNGE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.7%+3.1M shares
1 year+97%+42.6M shares
3 years+11%+8.5M shares

HNGE has 87M diluted shares, up 97% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over HNGE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HNGE Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -15.7xQ2 2026: -2.9xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q1 2025: -15.7xQ2 2026: -2.9xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-15.7xNet Cash

HNGE has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

HNGE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.7Overbought
Stochastic87.2Overbought

HNGE's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

HNGE PE vs Healthcare Sector

HNGE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

HNGE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$107.213% above
20 week MA$94.828% above
50 week MA$66.781% above

HNGE has stronger trend alignment. HNGE is above 3 of 3 weekly averages versus UNH above 4 of 5.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

HNGE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$40.2$47.5+18%
2026 YTD$47.5$121.0+155%

HNGE has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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