HMN

Horace Mann Educators Corporation

60
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

HMN has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HMN.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

HMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x152x229x305x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x152x229x305x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$45.56-14%
Forward11x$52.78—
Current12x$52.78—
Fair13x$57.21+8.4%
Expensive21x$88.69+68%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HMN has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

HMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HMN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

HMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$63.49
Downside-9%$47.97

Calculated from the latest close: $52.78 on Nov 12.

HMN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with less potential downside for the same potential upside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails HMN on modeled risk to reward, with more potential downside for the same potential upside.

HMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.97Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.28Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $5.02
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.97Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.28Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $5.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.02+17%
Q3 2026$4.29+8.6%
Q2 2026$4.28+27%
Q1 2026$3.98+44%
Q4 2025$3.90+57%
Q3 2025$3.95+57%
Q2 2025$3.38+72%
Q1 2025$2.76+76%
Q4 2024$2.48+128%

HMN has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

HMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: $388MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: $435MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $444MQ3 2026: $439M
Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: $388MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: $435MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $444MQ3 2026: $439M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$439.2M+0.2%
Q2 2026$443.5M+7.7%
Q1 2026$429.3M+3.1%
Q4 2025$434.8M+6.3%
Q3 2025$438.5M+6.4%
Q2 2025$411.7M+6.1%
Q1 2025$416.4M+7.9%
Q4 2024$409M+1.5%

HMN's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $439M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $144MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $112M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $144MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$112M-26%
Q2 2026$223.7M+70%
Q1 2026$61.3M-56%
Q4 2025$129.9M-33%
Q3 2025$151.2M+5.1%
Q2 2025$131.3M+227%
Q1 2025$140.8M+89%
Q4 2024$193.5M+88%

HMN has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

HMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+200K shares
1 year-0.5%-200K shares
3 years0%--
5 years-1.9%-800K shares
Available history-1.5%-619K shares

HMN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over HMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

HMN's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HMN.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over HMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.5Neutral
Stochastic63.6Neutral

HMN's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

HMN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHMNSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %426321 pts below

HMN has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.711% above
20 week MA$50.05.6% above
50 week MA$46.912% above
100 week MA$44.718% above
200 week MA$39.334% above

HMN has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

HMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.7$41.7-4.6%
2021$41.7$38.6-7.5%
2022$38.6$37.9-1.8%
2023$37.9$32.7-14%
2024$32.7$39.3+20%
2025$39.3$46.5+18%
2026 YTD$46.5$52.8+14%

HMN has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key