HMN

Horace Mann Educators Corporation

60
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

HMN has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HMN.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

HMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x152x229x305x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x152x229x305x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$45.56-14%
Forward11x$52.78—
Current12x$52.78—
Fair13x$57.21+8.4%
Expensive21x$88.69+68%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HMN's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over HMN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HMN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over HMN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$63.49
Downside-9%$47.97

Calculated from the latest close: $52.78 on Nov 12.

HMN trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HMN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.97Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.28Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $5.02
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.97Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.28Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $5.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.02+17%
Q3 2026$4.29+8.6%
Q2 2026$4.28+27%
Q1 2026$3.98+44%
Q4 2025$3.90+57%
Q3 2025$3.95+57%
Q2 2025$3.38+72%
Q1 2025$2.76+76%
Q4 2024$2.48+128%

HMN has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

HMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: $388MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: $435MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $444MQ3 2026: $439M
Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: $388MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: $435MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $444MQ3 2026: $439M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$439.2M+0.2%
Q2 2026$443.5M+7.7%
Q1 2026$429.3M+3.1%
Q4 2025$434.8M+6.3%
Q3 2025$438.5M+6.4%
Q2 2025$411.7M+6.1%
Q1 2025$416.4M+7.9%
Q4 2024$409M+1.5%

HMN's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $439M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over HMN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $144MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $112M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $144MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$112M-26%
Q2 2026$223.7M+70%
Q1 2026$61.3M-56%
Q4 2025$129.9M-33%
Q3 2025$151.2M+5.1%
Q2 2025$131.3M+227%
Q1 2025$140.8M+89%
Q4 2024$193.5M+88%

HMN's free cash flow was $527M over the past year, down 15% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HMN.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

HMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+200K shares
1 year-0.5%-200K shares
3 years0%--
5 years-1.9%-800K shares
Available history-1.5%-619K shares

HMN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over HMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

HMN's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HMN.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over HMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.5Neutral
Stochastic63.6Neutral

HMN's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HMN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHMNSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %426321 pts below

HMN has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.711% above
20 week MA$50.05.6% above
50 week MA$46.912% above
100 week MA$44.718% above
200 week MA$39.334% above

HMN has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

HMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.7$41.7-4.6%
2021$41.7$38.6-7.5%
2022$38.6$37.9-1.8%
2023$37.9$32.7-14%
2024$32.7$39.3+20%
2025$39.3$46.5+18%
2026 YTD$46.5$52.8+14%

HMN has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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