HMC

Honda Motor Co., Ltd.

54
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

HMC has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

HMC's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

HMC PE Valuation

HMC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

HMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

HMC has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$40.09
Downside-16%$28.15

Calculated from the latest close: $33.53 on Nov 12.

HMC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails HMC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HMC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.50Q4 2023: $3.58Q1 2024: $4.24Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $3.83Q4 2024: $4.08Q1 2025: $3.29Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $2.75Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $-2.11Q2 2026: $-0.81
Q3 2023: $3.50Q4 2023: $3.58Q1 2024: $4.24Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $3.83Q4 2024: $4.08Q1 2025: $3.29Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $2.75Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $-2.11Q2 2026: $-0.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.81-131%
Q1 2026-$2.11-164%
Q4 2025$2.25-45%
Q3 2025$2.75-28%
Q2 2025$2.63-40%
Q1 2025$3.29-22%
Q4 2024$4.08+14%
Q3 2024$3.83+9.4%

HMC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.81 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over HMC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HMC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $31.2BQ4 2023: $33.8BQ1 2024: $34BQ2 2024: $33.9BQ3 2024: $33.8BQ4 2024: $34.7BQ1 2025: $33.6BQ2 2025: $33.5BQ3 2025: $33.2BQ4 2025: $33.5BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $38B
Q3 2023: $31.2BQ4 2023: $33.8BQ1 2024: $34BQ2 2024: $33.9BQ3 2024: $33.8BQ4 2024: $34.7BQ1 2025: $33.6BQ2 2025: $33.5BQ3 2025: $33.2BQ4 2025: $33.5BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $38B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$38B+14%
Q1 2026$36.5B+8.6%
Q4 2025$33.5B-3.4%
Q3 2025$33.2B-1.9%
Q2 2025$33.5B-1.2%
Q1 2025$33.6B-1.3%
Q4 2024$34.7B+2.6%
Q3 2024$33.8B+8.2%

HMC's revenue is growing: $38B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over HMC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HMC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$45MQ4 2023: −$683MQ1 2024: −$942MQ2 2024: −$719MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: −$683MQ1 2025: −$942MQ2 2025: −$719MQ3 2025: $727MQ4 2025: $612MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: −$2.2B
Q3 2023: −$45MQ4 2023: −$683MQ1 2024: −$942MQ2 2024: −$719MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: −$683MQ1 2025: −$942MQ2 2025: −$719MQ3 2025: $727MQ4 2025: $612MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: −$2.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$2.2B-$1.4B
Q1 2026$870.1M+$1.8B
Q4 2025$612.2M+$1.3B
Q3 2025$726.9M+$772.3M
Q2 2025-$719.2M$0
Q1 2025-$942.2M$0
Q4 2024-$683.5M$0
Q3 2024-$45.5M$0

HMC's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $45M over the past year.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

HMC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.4B
Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.7%+62.8M shares
1 year0%-42.7K shares
3 years-15%-257M shares
5 years-19%-326M shares
Available history-20%-359M shares

HMC has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HMC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: -3.9x
Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: -3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 20268.6xHigh
Q4 20254.9xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.8xModerate
Q3 20242.5xModerate

HMC has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

HMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.4Neutral
Stochastic71.9Neutral

HMC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

HMC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHMCSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

HMC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

HMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.60.2% below
20 week MA$31.95.3% above
50 week MA$29.414% above
100 week MA$29.713% above
200 week MA$30.311% above

HMC has slipped below its 8-week average, but it's still above the other four, and 11% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over HMC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.6$28.6-0.1%
2021$28.6$28.1-1.7%
2022$28.1$23.1-18%
2023$23.1$30.9+34%
2024$30.9$28.8-7%
2025$28.8$29.8+3.6%
2026 YTD$29.8$33.5+13%

HMC has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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