HMC

Honda Motor Co., Ltd.

54
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

HMC has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

HMC's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HMC PE Valuation

HMC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect HMC to return to profit, with revenue growing.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$40.09
Downside-16%$28.15

Calculated from the latest close: $33.53 on Nov 12.

HMC trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HMC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HMC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.50Q4 2023: $3.58Q1 2024: $4.24Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $3.83Q4 2024: $4.08Q1 2025: $3.29Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $2.75Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $-2.11Q2 2026: $-0.81
Q3 2023: $3.50Q4 2023: $3.58Q1 2024: $4.24Q2 2024: $4.40Q3 2024: $3.83Q4 2024: $4.08Q1 2025: $3.29Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $2.75Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $-2.11Q2 2026: $-0.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.81-131%
Q1 2026-$2.11-164%
Q4 2025$2.25-45%
Q3 2025$2.75-28%
Q2 2025$2.63-40%
Q1 2025$3.29-22%
Q4 2024$4.08+14%
Q3 2024$3.83+9.4%

HMC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.81 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over HMC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HMC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $31.2BQ4 2023: $33.8BQ1 2024: $34BQ2 2024: $33.9BQ3 2024: $33.8BQ4 2024: $34.7BQ1 2025: $33.6BQ2 2025: $33.5BQ3 2025: $33.2BQ4 2025: $33.5BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $38B
Q3 2023: $31.2BQ4 2023: $33.8BQ1 2024: $34BQ2 2024: $33.9BQ3 2024: $33.8BQ4 2024: $34.7BQ1 2025: $33.6BQ2 2025: $33.5BQ3 2025: $33.2BQ4 2025: $33.5BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $38B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$38B+14%
Q1 2026$36.5B+8.6%
Q4 2025$33.5B-3.4%
Q3 2025$33.2B-1.9%
Q2 2025$33.5B-1.2%
Q1 2025$33.6B-1.3%
Q4 2024$34.7B+2.6%
Q3 2024$33.8B+8.2%

HMC's revenue is growing: $38B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over HMC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HMC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$45MQ4 2023: −$683MQ1 2024: −$942MQ2 2024: −$719MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: −$683MQ1 2025: −$942MQ2 2025: −$719MQ3 2025: $727MQ4 2025: $612MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: −$2.2B
Q3 2023: −$45MQ4 2023: −$683MQ1 2024: −$942MQ2 2024: −$719MQ3 2024: −$45MQ4 2024: −$683MQ1 2025: −$942MQ2 2025: −$719MQ3 2025: $727MQ4 2025: $612MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: −$2.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$2.2B-$1.4B
Q1 2026$870.1M+$1.8B
Q4 2025$612.2M+$1.3B
Q3 2025$726.9M+$772.3M
Q2 2025-$719.2M$0
Q1 2025-$942.2M$0
Q4 2024-$683.5M$0
Q3 2024-$45.5M$0

HMC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

HMC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.4B
Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.7%+62.8M shares
1 year0%-42.7K shares
3 years-15%-257M shares
5 years-19%-326M shares
Available history-20%-359M shares

HMC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

HMC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: -3.9x
Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: -3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 20268.6xHigh
Q4 20254.9xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.8xModerate
Q3 20242.5xModerate

HMC has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.4Neutral
Stochastic71.9Neutral

HMC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

HMC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHMCSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

HMC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.60.2% below
20 week MA$31.95.3% above
50 week MA$29.414% above
100 week MA$29.713% above
200 week MA$30.311% above

HMC has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

HMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.6$28.6-0.1%
2021$28.6$28.1-1.7%
2022$28.1$23.1-18%
2023$23.1$30.9+34%
2024$30.9$28.8-7%
2025$28.8$29.8+3.6%
2026 YTD$29.8$33.5+13%

HMC has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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