HLI

Houlihan Lokey, Inc.

50
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

HLI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over HLI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

HLI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HLI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HLI.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

HLI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$101-29%
Forward18x$143—
Fair22x$134-6.7%
Current24x$143—
Expensive32x$193+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HLI's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over HLI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HLI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HLI, with profitability improving.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HLI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$175.23
Downside-13%$125.07

Calculated from the latest close: $143.43 on Nov 12.

HLI trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HLI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HLI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.89Q1 2024: $4.11Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $4.89Q4 2024: $5.24Q1 2025: $5.82Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $6.20Q4 2025: $6.51Q1 2026: $6.22Q2 2026: $5.95Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $8.11
Q4 2023: $3.89Q1 2024: $4.11Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $4.89Q4 2024: $5.24Q1 2025: $5.82Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $6.20Q4 2025: $6.51Q1 2026: $6.22Q2 2026: $5.95Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $8.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.11+36%
Q3 2026$5.96-3.9%
Q2 2026$5.95+0.2%
Q1 2026$6.22+6.9%
Q4 2025$6.51+24%
Q3 2025$6.20+27%
Q2 2025$5.94+32%
Q1 2025$5.82+42%
Q4 2024$5.24+35%

HLI earned $5.96 per share over the past year, down 3.9% from the year before.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

HLI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $511MQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $514MQ3 2024: $575MQ4 2024: $634MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $717MQ1 2026: $636MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $692M
Q4 2023: $511MQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $514MQ3 2024: $575MQ4 2024: $634MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $717MQ1 2026: $636MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $692M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$692M+4.9%
Q2 2026$511M-16%
Q1 2026$635.6M-4.6%
Q4 2025$717.1M+13%
Q3 2025$659.5M+15%
Q2 2025$605.3M+18%
Q1 2025$666.4M+28%
Q4 2024$634.4M+24%

HLI's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $692M last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over HLI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: −$75MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $262MQ1 2025: $344MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $217MQ1 2026: $287MQ2 2026: −$342MQ3 2026: $240M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: −$75MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $262MQ1 2025: $344MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $217MQ1 2026: $287MQ2 2026: −$342MQ3 2026: $240M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$240M-26%
Q2 2026-$342M-$197.2M
Q1 2026$286.8M-17%
Q4 2025$217M-17%
Q3 2025$322.8M+16%
Q2 2025-$144.8M-$69.4M
Q1 2025$343.9M+61%
Q3 2024$278.7M+148%

HLI's free cash flow was $402M over the past year, down 49% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HLI.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over HLI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 67M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 67M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-600K shares
1 year-2.3%-1.6M shares
3 years-1.3%-867K shares
5 years-2.3%-1.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+1.4M shares

HLI has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

HLI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash

HLI has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

HLI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

HLI's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HLI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHLISector medianRelative
PE24x13x85% above
PE %57636 pts below

HLI has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HLI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$134.26.9% above
20 week MA$134.07.1% above
50 week MA$149.13.8% below
100 week MA$164.413% below
200 week MA$143.20.2% above

HLI has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

HLI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.9$67.2+37%
2021$67.2$103.6+54%
2022$103.6$89.2-14%
2023$89.2$119.9+35%
2024$119.9$174.3+45%
2025$174.3$178.5+2.4%
2026 YTD$178.5$143.4-20%

HLI has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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