HLF

Herbalife Nutrition Ltd.

55
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

HLF's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 55%, but earnings per share fell 46%. At 9.1x earnings, it's trading above its usual 7.6x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

HLF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

HLF's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

HLF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$8.29-46%
Forward5.4x$15.21—
Fair7.6x$12.78-16%
Current9.1x$15.21—
Expensive16x$27.34+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HLF's PE is in its fair range at 9.1x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.4x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HLF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect HLF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

HLF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$21.55
Downside-32%$10.31

Calculated from the latest close: $15.21 on Nov 12.

HLF's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +42% against −32%.

HLF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.37Q2 2024: $0.82Q3 2024: $0.85Q4 2024: $2.50Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $3.18Q3 2025: $3.14Q4 2025: $2.20Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $1.55Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.82
Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.37Q2 2024: $0.82Q3 2024: $0.85Q4 2024: $2.50Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $3.18Q3 2025: $3.14Q4 2025: $2.20Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $1.55Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82+68%
Q3 2026$1.68-46%
Q2 2026$1.55-51%
Q1 2026$2.28-17%
Q4 2025$2.20-12%
Q3 2025$3.14+269%
Q2 2025$3.18+288%
Q1 2025$2.75+101%
Q4 2024$2.50+76%

HLF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.68 over the past year, against $4.32 in late 2021.

HLF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+6%
Q2 2026$1.3B+5.4%
Q1 2026$1.3B+7.8%
Q4 2025$1.3B+6.3%
Q3 2025$1.3B+2.7%
Q2 2025$1.3B-1.7%
Q1 2025$1.2B-3.4%
Q4 2024$1.2B-0.6%

HLF's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 6% from the same quarter a year ago.

HLF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $133M
Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $133M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$132.8M+13%
Q2 2026$21.6M-70%
Q1 2026$102.9M+$121M
Q4 2025$79.8M+82%
Q3 2025$118M+63%
Q2 2025$73.2M+11%
Q1 2025-$18.1M+$1M
Q4 2024$43.9M-28%

HLF still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $337M over the past year.

HLF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 100MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 100MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+2.8M shares
1 year+3.2%+3.3M shares
3 years+6.9%+6.9M shares
5 years-0.5%-500K shares
Available history-24%-34.3M shares

HLF has 107M diluted shares, up 3.2% from a year ago.

HLF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.2xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 4.2xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.6xElevated

HLF's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

HLF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.1Neutral
Stochastic79.3Neutral

HLF's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

HLF PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricHLFSector medianRelative
PE9.1x19x54% below
PE %641846 pts above

HLF is trading at 9.1x earnings, a 54% discount to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

HLF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.711% above
20 week MA$12.918% above
50 week MA$14.08.3% above
100 week MA$11.137% above
200 week MA$11.730% above

HLF has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 30% above its 200-week average.

HLF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.8$48.4+1.3%
2021$48.4$40.2-17%
2022$40.2$14.5-64%
2023$14.5$15.3+5.6%
2024$15.3$6.70-56%
2025$6.70$13.3+99%
2026 YTD$13.3$15.2+14%

HLF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 14% so far in 2026.

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