HIVE

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.

There isn't enough reported data to score HIVE yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

HIVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
N/A
N/A

HIVE's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HIVE.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

HIVE PE Valuation

HIVE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

HIVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HIVE's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

HIVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HIVE and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HIVE and MS's risk to reward.

HIVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.50Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-1.38Q3 2026: $-1.60
Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.50Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $-0.27Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-1.38Q3 2026: $-1.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.60-1433%
Q2 2026-$1.38-1162%
Q1 2026-$0.66-$0.44
Q4 2025-$0.27-154%
Q3 2025$0.12-71%
Q2 2025$0.13-28%
Q1 2025-$0.22-238%
Q4 2024$0.50+$0.98

HIVE has swung to a loss: it lost $1.60 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over HIVE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HIVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $72MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $72MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.9M-2.7%
Q2 2026$79.1M+73%
Q1 2026$71.8M+130%
Q4 2025$93.1M+219%
Q3 2025$87.3M+285%
Q2 2025$45.6M+41%
Q1 2025$31.2M-16%
Q4 2024$29.2M-6.5%

HIVE's revenue is growing: $85M last quarter, down 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

HIVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: −$90MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$48MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $858,000
Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: −$90MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$48MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $858,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$858K+$49.1M
Q2 2026-$10.7M+$26.4M
Q1 2026-$21.8M+$7.8M
Q4 2025-$9M+$80.9M
Q3 2025-$48.2M-$26.2M
Q2 2025-$37.1M-$19.4M
Q1 2025-$29.5M+$8.3M
Q4 2024-$89.9M-$63.8M

HIVE has the edge over MS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

HIVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 88MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 259MQ2 2026: 266MQ3 2026: 274M
Q4 2023: 88MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 259MQ2 2026: 266MQ3 2026: 274M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+7.8M shares
1 year+20%+45.9M shares
3 years+222%+189M shares
5 years+242%+194M shares
Available history+319%+209M shares

HIVE has 274M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over HIVE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HIVE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.3xVery low
Q2 20240.0xVery low

HIVE's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HIVE.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

HIVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic6.1Oversold

HIVE's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

HIVE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHIVESector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

HIVE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HIVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.2426% below
20 week MA$2.7039% below
50 week MA$2.7941% below
100 week MA$2.7841% below
200 week MA$3.1247% below

HIVE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over HIVE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HIVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.40$8.30+1975%
2021$8.30$15.3+84%
2022$15.3$1.59-90%
2023$1.59$4.53+185%
2024$4.53$2.97-34%
2025$2.97$2.72-8.4%
2026 YTD$2.72$1.65-39%

HIVE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1975% in 2020 to −90% in 2022. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over HIVE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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