HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
HII has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over HII overall, supported by stronger valuation.
HII Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
HII's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
HII PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $215 | -30% |
| Fair | 15x | $285 | -7.6% |
| Forward | 15x | $308 | — |
| Current | 17x | $308 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $346 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HII's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HII Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HII, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over HII on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
HII Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.05 | +7.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $18.60 | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.80 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.39 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.39 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.48 | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.36 | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.88 | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.96 | -18% |
HII has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
HII Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.5B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2B | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.1B | +3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | -2.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | -5.4% |
HII's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $3.5B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.1% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7% | -6.2 points |
HII has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over HII on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HII Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $425M | +2556% |
| Q2 2026 | -$150M | -121% |
| Q1 2026 | -$464M | -$2M |
| Q4 2025 | $516M | +86% |
| Q3 2025 | $16M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $730M | +$829M |
| Q1 2025 | -$462M | -$185M |
| Q4 2024 | $277M | -36% |
HII has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
HII Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +200K shares |
| 3 years | -1% | -400K shares |
| 5 years | -1.7% | -700K shares |
| Available history | -4.3% | -1.8M shares |
HII has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $35M |
| Q2 2024 | $65M |
| Q1 2024 | $62M |
| Q4 2023 | $38M |
| Q3 2023 | $21M |
| Q2 2023 | $7M |
| Q1 2023 | $9M |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
HII Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
HII's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
HII Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.3 | Neutral |
HII's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
HII PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | HII | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 24x | 31% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
HII is trading at 17x earnings, a 31% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HII Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $282.2 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $290.1 | 6.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $335.8 | 8.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $287.3 | 7.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $262.5 | 17% above |
HII has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
HII Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $251.1 | $165.4 | -34% |
| 2021 | $165.4 | $182.2 | +10% |
| 2022 | $182.2 | $230.1 | +26% |
| 2023 | $230.1 | $259.6 | +13% |
| 2024 | $259.6 | $190.4 | -27% |
| 2025 | $190.4 | $351.1 | +84% |
| 2026 YTD | $351.1 | $308.3 | -12% |
HII has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over HII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.