HIG
The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.
HIG has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
HIG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HIG's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HIG.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
HIG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.3x | $137 | — |
| Cheap | 9.2x | $152 | +11% |
| Forward | 10x | $137 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $187 | +37% |
| Expensive | 13x | $208 | +52% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HIG has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
HIG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect HIG's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over HIG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
HIG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.28 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $16.50 | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.45 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.21 | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.24 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.03 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.03 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.35 | +30% |
HIG has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
HIG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.3B | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B | +6.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.3B | +6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.2B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $7B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.8B | +6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.9B | +7.5% |
HIG's revenue is growing: $7.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | +3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +0.8 points |
HIG's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 3.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over HIG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over HIG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HIG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +7.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | -7.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $947M | -9.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +22% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.6B | -5.9% |
HIG's free cash flow was $5.9B over the past year, up 2.7% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HIG.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
HIG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.2M shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -11.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -35.9M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -77.6M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -91.8M shares |
HIG has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $475M |
| Q2 2026 | $466M |
| Q1 2026 | $450M |
| Q4 2025 | $400M |
| Q3 2025 | $400M |
| Q2 2025 | $415M |
| Q1 2025 | $400M |
| Q4 2024 | $414M |
HIG spent $1.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 9.9% from the year before.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
HIG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Very low |
HIG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HIG.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over HIG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HIG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.9 | Neutral |
HIG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
HIG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HIG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 13x | 36% below |
| PE % | 8 | 63 | 55 pts below |
HIG has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HIG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.8 | 3.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $135.8 | 0.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $135.3 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $129.3 | 5.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $109.0 | 26% above |
HIG has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
HIG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.6 | $48.4 | -20% |
| 2021 | $48.4 | $68.3 | +41% |
| 2022 | $68.3 | $76.1 | +12% |
| 2023 | $76.1 | $80.4 | +5.6% |
| 2024 | $80.4 | $110.1 | +37% |
| 2025 | $110.1 | $138.7 | +26% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.7 | $136.9 | -1.3% |
HIG has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.