HIFS

Hingham Institution for Savings

64
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

HIFS has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HIFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HIFS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HIFS.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

HIFS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.0x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.0x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$301—
Cheap11x$322+7%
Fair13x$380+26%
Expensive19x$570+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HIFS has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

HIFS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for HIFS to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

HIFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$396.71
Downside-20%$240.71

Calculated from the latest close: $300.62 on Nov 12.

HIFS trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HIFS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HIFS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $14.57Q4 2023: $12.02Q1 2024: $11.28Q2 2024: $9.40Q3 2024: $10.56Q4 2024: $12.85Q1 2025: $12.96Q2 2025: $15.36Q3 2025: $20.55Q4 2025: $24.76Q1 2026: $22.81Q2 2026: $30.02
Q3 2023: $14.57Q4 2023: $12.02Q1 2024: $11.28Q2 2024: $9.40Q3 2024: $10.56Q4 2024: $12.85Q1 2025: $12.96Q2 2025: $15.36Q3 2025: $20.55Q4 2025: $24.76Q1 2026: $22.81Q2 2026: $30.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$30.02+95%
Q1 2026$22.81+76%
Q4 2025$24.76+93%
Q3 2025$20.55+95%
Q2 2025$15.36+63%
Q1 2025$12.96+15%
Q4 2024$12.85+6.9%
Q3 2024$10.56-28%

HIFS earned $30.02 per share over the past year, up 95% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

HIFS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $46MQ4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $72M
Q3 2023: $46MQ4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$72M+33%
Q1 2026$42.1M-18%
Q4 2025$66.8M+14%
Q3 2025$64.5M+21%
Q2 2025$54.1M+4.5%
Q1 2025$51.4M-4.3%
Q4 2024$58.7M+12%
Q3 2024$53.2M+16%

HIFS's revenue is growing: $72M last quarter, up 33% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over HIFS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HIFS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $4M
Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.6M-34%
Q1 2026$13.1M+15%
Q4 2025$7.5M+385%
Q3 2025$11.1M+208%
Q2 2025$5.4M+89%
Q1 2025$11.5M+208%
Q4 2024$1.6M-63%
Q3 2024$3.6M-33%

HIFS has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

HIFS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 2MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2M
Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 2MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+4K shares
1 year+0.6%+13K shares
3 years+1%+22K shares
5 years+0.6%+12.4K shares
Available history+1.4%+30K shares

HIFS has 2M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over HIFS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HIFS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 34.1xQ4 2023: 37.0xQ1 2024: 40.6xQ2 2024: 47.3xQ3 2024: 38.2xQ4 2024: 30.7xQ1 2025: 28.4xQ2 2025: 26.2xQ3 2025: 18.9xQ4 2025: 19.8xQ1 2026: 20.7xQ2 2026: 15.8x
Q3 2023: 34.1xQ4 2023: 37.0xQ1 2024: 40.6xQ2 2024: 47.3xQ3 2024: 38.2xQ4 2024: 30.7xQ1 2025: 28.4xQ2 2025: 26.2xQ3 2025: 18.9xQ4 2025: 19.8xQ1 2026: 20.7xQ2 2026: 15.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202615.8xHigh
Q1 202620.7xHigh
Q4 202519.8xHigh
Q3 202518.9xHigh
Q2 202526.2xHigh
Q1 202528.4xHigh
Q4 202430.7xHigh
Q3 202438.2xHigh

HIFS's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HIFS.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS has the edge over HIFS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HIFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.3Neutral
Stochastic44.0Neutral

HIFS's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

HIFS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHIFSSector medianRelative
PE10x13x23% below
PE %106353 pts below

HIFS has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HIFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$296.31.5% above
20 week MA$298.30.8% above
50 week MA$293.22.5% above
100 week MA$275.49.2% above
200 week MA$242.824% above

HIFS has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

HIFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$209.9$216.2+3%
2021$216.2$391.5+81%
2022$391.5$276.3-29%
2023$276.3$194.4-30%
2024$194.4$253.1+30%
2025$253.1$291.2+15%
2026 YTD$291.2$300.6+3.2%

HIFS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 3.2% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over HIFS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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