HFWA

Heritage Financial Corporation

65
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

HFWA's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 33% and earnings per share grew 22%. At 14x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

HFWA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

HFWA's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HFWA.

HFWA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$18.36-35%
Forward11x$28.21—
Fair14x$27.25-3.4%
Current14x$28.21—
Expensive18x$35.45+26%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HFWA's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

HFWA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HFWA, with profitability improving.

HFWA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$37.72
Downside-12%$24.88

Calculated from the latest close: $28.21 on Nov 12.

HFWA's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +34% against −12%.

HFWA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.75Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.26Q3 2024: $1.08Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.48Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.65Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.04Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.01Forward: $2.50
Q4 2023: $1.75Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.26Q3 2024: $1.08Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.48Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.65Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.04Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.01Forward: $2.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.50+24%
Q3 2026$2.01+22%
Q2 2026$2.10+47%
Q1 2026$2.04+38%
Q4 2025$1.96+58%
Q3 2025$1.65+53%
Q2 2025$1.43+13%
Q1 2025$1.48+11%
Q4 2024$1.24-29%

HFWA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.01 over the past year, against $2.84 in late 2021.

HFWA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $66MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $87M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $66MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $87M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$86.5M+32%
Q2 2026$84.1M+49%
Q1 2026$77.9M+35%
Q4 2025$66.3M+16%
Q3 2025$65.7M+20%
Q2 2025$56.5M+0.3%
Q1 2025$57.6M+18%
Q4 2024$57.1M+12%

HFWA's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $87M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

HFWA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.4M+16%
Q2 2026$21.1M+0.9%
Q1 2026$12.7M-30%
Q4 2025$22.3M+12%
Q3 2025$24.4M+5%
Q2 2025$20.9M+250%
Q1 2025$18.1M+51%
Q4 2024$19.8M-34%

HFWA's free cash flow was $84M over the past year, up 1.5% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HFWA.

HFWA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-329K shares
1 year+20%+6.8M shares
3 years+17%+6.1M shares
5 years+15%+5.3M shares
Available history+11%+4.2M shares

HFWA has 41M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago, despite $21M in buybacks over the past year.

HFWA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 7.2xQ3 2024: 4.6xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 7.2xQ3 2024: 4.6xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20244.9xHigh

HFWA has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HFWA.

HFWA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic45.1Neutral

HFWA's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

HFWA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHFWASector medianRelative
PE14x13x7.8% above
PE %55638 pts below

HFWA is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HFWA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.20% above
20 week MA$28.92.4% below
50 week MA$27.42.9% above
100 week MA$25.510% above
200 week MA$22.824% above

HFWA's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 200-week average.

HFWA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.2$23.0-18%
2021$23.0$24.0+4.4%
2022$24.0$30.8+28%
2023$30.8$21.4-31%
2024$21.4$24.3+14%
2025$24.3$24.5+0.6%
2026 YTD$24.5$28.2+15%

HFWA has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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