HDL

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Ltd. American Depositary Shares

48
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

HDL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over HDL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

HDL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

HDL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

HDL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$5.44-49%
Fair22x$5.94-44%
Expensive34x$9.06-15%
Current40x$10.69—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HDL's PE is 40x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HDL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for HDL to show an outlook.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

HDL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$13.32
Downside-20%$8.59

Calculated from the latest close: $10.69 on Nov 12.

HDL trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HDL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HDL Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.40Q4 2025: $0.70Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.27
Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.40Q4 2025: $0.70Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.27-70%

HDL has the edge over NIO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

HDL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $173MQ4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $219M
Q3 2023: $173MQ4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $219M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$218.7M+9.9%
Q1 2026$225.9M+14%
Q4 2025$230.3M+9.6%
Q3 2025$214M+7.8%
Q2 2025$199M+9.1%
Q1 2025$197.8M+4.9%
Q4 2024$210.1M+10%
Q3 2024$198.6M+15%

HDL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $219M last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

HDL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $22,487Q2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $28M
Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $22,487Q2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$28.2M+6.2%
Q1 2026$24.2M+107673%
Q4 2025$2.7M-79%
Q3 2025$34.1M-16%
Q2 2025$26.6M+11%
Q1 2025$22.5K-100%
Q4 2024$12.8M-27%
Q3 2024$40.7M+133%

HDL generated $89M in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

HDL Total Shares

Q3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 59M
Q3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+44%+17.9M shares
1 year+7.5%+4.1M shares

HDL has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

HDL Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.7x
Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

HDL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

HDL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic9.0Oversold

HDL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

HDL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHDLSector medianRelative
PE40x18x121% above
PE %1002377 pts above

HDL is trading at 40x earnings, a 121% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HDL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.80.6% below
20 week MA$12.011% below
50 week MA$14.024% below
100 week MA$17.639% below

NIO has stronger trend alignment. HDL is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus NIO above 0 of 5.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

HDL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$22.3$27.3+22%
2025$27.3$16.3-40%
2026 YTD$16.3$10.7-34%

HDL has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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