HDB

HDFC Bank Limited

59
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

HDB has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HDB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

HDB's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HDB.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

HDB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.2x18x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.2x18x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$25.71—
Cheap19x$30.82+20%
Fair23x$37.39+45%
Expensive29x$47.45+85%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HDB has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

HDB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HDB, but weaker profitability.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over HDB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

HDB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$32.08
Downside-20%$20.68

Calculated from the latest close: $25.71 on Nov 12.

HDB trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HDB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HDB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.34Q4 2023: $1.34Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.45Q1 2025: $1.47Q2 2025: $1.46Q3 2025: $1.51Q4 2025: $1.56Q1 2026: $1.59Q2 2026: $1.65
Q3 2023: $1.34Q4 2023: $1.34Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.45Q1 2025: $1.47Q2 2025: $1.46Q3 2025: $1.51Q4 2025: $1.56Q1 2026: $1.59Q2 2026: $1.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.65+13%
Q1 2026$1.59+8.2%
Q4 2025$1.56+7.6%
Q3 2025$1.51+4.9%
Q2 2025$1.46+8.1%
Q1 2025$1.47+8.9%
Q4 2024$1.45+8.2%
Q3 2024$1.44+7.5%

HDB's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.65 over the past year, up 13% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over HDB on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HDB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $11.5BQ4 2023: $12.3BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $7.3BQ2 2025: $14.2BQ3 2025: $12.9BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $12.7BQ2 2026: $14.3B
Q3 2023: $11.5BQ4 2023: $12.3BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $7.3BQ2 2025: $14.2BQ3 2025: $12.9BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $12.7BQ2 2026: $14.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$14.3B+0.8%
Q1 2026$12.7B+72%
Q4 2025$13.7B+14%
Q3 2025$12.9B+33%
Q2 2025$14.2B+14%
Q1 2025$7.3B+0.5%
Q4 2024$12B-2.5%
Q3 2024$9.6B-16%

HDB's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $14.3B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over HDB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HDB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $18.4BQ2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $18.4BQ2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$18.4B+$18.4B
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

HDB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

HDB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 5.1BQ4 2023: 5.1BQ1 2024: 5.1BQ2 2024: 5.1BQ3 2024: 5.1BQ4 2024: 5.1BQ1 2025: 5.1BQ2 2025: 5.1BQ3 2025: 5.1BQ4 2025: 5.1BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1B
Q3 2023: 5.1BQ4 2023: 5.1BQ1 2024: 5.1BQ2 2024: 5.1BQ3 2024: 5.1BQ4 2024: 5.1BQ1 2025: 5.1BQ2 2025: 5.1BQ3 2025: 5.1BQ4 2025: 5.1BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-2.6M shares
1 year+0.2%+12.4M shares
3 years+37%+1.4B shares
5 years+39%+1.5B shares
Available history+39%+1.5B shares

HDB has 5.1B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over HDB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HDB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 8.9xQ4 2023: 7.6xQ1 2024: 6.7xQ2 2024: 6.3xQ3 2024: 7.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.0x
Q3 2023: 8.9xQ4 2023: 7.6xQ1 2024: 6.7xQ2 2024: 6.3xQ3 2024: 7.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.0xElevated
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh
Q3 20247.1xHigh

HDB's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HDB.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over HDB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HDB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.2Neutral
Stochastic68.2Neutral

HDB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

HDB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHDBSector medianRelative
PE16x13x20% above
PE %56358 pts below

HDB is trading at 16x earnings, a 20% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over HDB on valuation relative to its sector.

HDB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.310% above
20 week MA$23.88.1% above
50 week MA$27.04.9% below
100 week MA$30.917% below
200 week MA$31.117% below

HDB has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 17% below its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over HDB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HDB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.6$34.8+10%
2021$34.8$31.6-9.1%
2022$31.6$33.4+5.7%
2023$33.4$33.6+0.4%
2024$33.6$32.3-3.8%
2025$32.3$36.5+13%
2026 YTD$36.5$25.7-29%

HDB has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over HDB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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