HCXY

Hercules Capital, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score HCXY yet.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

HCXY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HCXY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HCXY.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

HCXY PE Valuation

HCXY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

HCXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HCXY's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over HCXY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

HCXY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $24.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCXY and JPM's risk to reward.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCXY and JPM's risk to reward.

HCXY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.88+9.3%
Q2 2026$2.03+34%
Q1 2026$1.79+35%
Q4 2025$1.85+15%
Q3 2025$1.72-15%
Q2 2025$1.51-16%
Q1 2025$1.33-40%
Q4 2024$1.61-30%

HCXY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.88 over the past year, against $2.89 in mid-2021.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over HCXY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCXY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$87.4M+52%
Q2 2022$21.7M-81%
Q1 2022$29.7M-70%
Q4 2021$40.2M-78%
Q3 2021$57.4M-23%
Q2 2021$115.3M+23%
Q1 2021$98.4M+2179%
Q4 2020$184.3M+145%

HCXY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 52% for HCXY versus up 8.1% for JPM.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HCXY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: −$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$222MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: −$166M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: −$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$222MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: −$166M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$165.6M-$162.4M
Q2 2026$297.9M+$442.8M
Q1 2026-$230.7M-$8.4M
Q4 2025-$55.6M-$26.4M
Q3 2025-$3.2M-103%
Q2 2025-$144.8M-345%
Q1 2025-$222.2M+$19M
Q4 2024-$29.2M-122%

HCXY's free cash flow was −$154M over the past year, against −$399M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HCXY.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM has the edge over HCXY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCXY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+501K shares
1 year+2.9%+5.7M shares
3 years+36%+53M shares
5 years+72%+83.8M shares
Available history+89%+94M shares

HCXY has 200M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over HCXY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HCXY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202233.8xHigh
Q2 2022100.4xHigh
Q1 202211.9xHigh
Q4 20216.4xHigh
Q3 20213.7xElevated
Q2 20213.4xElevated
Q1 20213.6xElevated
Q4 20204.8xHigh

HCXY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HCXY.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

HCXY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.5Neutral
Stochastic36.7Neutral

HCXY's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

HCXY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHCXYSector medianRelative
PE13x13x1.8% below
PE %446319 pts below

HCXY has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HCXY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$24.40.8% below
20 week MA$24.72.2% below
50 week MA$25.03.2% below
100 week MA$25.03.4% below
200 week MA$24.82.7% below

HCXY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.7% below its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over HCXY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HCXY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.3$26.8+2%
2021$26.8$26.4-1.5%
2022$26.4$23.9-9.7%
2023$23.9$25.3+5.9%
2024$25.3$24.9-1.2%
2025$24.9$25.3+1.5%
2026 YTD$25.3$24.2-4.5%

HCXY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.5% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over HCXY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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