HCMA
HCM III Acquisition Corp.
There isn't enough reported data to score HCMA yet.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
HCMA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HCMA's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HCMA.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
HCMA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 63x | $10.04 | -2.9% |
| Current | 63x | $10.34 | — |
| Fair | 96x | $15.30 | +48% |
| Expensive | 184x | $29.47 | +185% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HCMA has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
HCMA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for HCMA to show an outlook.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
HCMA Earnings Per Share
HCMA earned $0.16 per share over the past year, down 71% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over HCMA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
HCMA Quarterly Revenue
HCMA's revenue is shrinking: $0 last quarter.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over HCMA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HCMA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | -$447.6K | -$346.2K |
| Q2 2023 | -$340.4K | -$240.2K |
| Q1 2023 | -$255.3K | +$256.1K |
| Q4 2022 | -$177.2K | -$176.2K |
| Q3 2022 | -$101.5K | -$98.2K |
| Q2 2022 | -$100.1K | -$100.1K |
| Q1 2022 | -$511.4K | -$503.9K |
HCMA has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 141% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
HCMA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +360% | +26.4M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -5.1M shares |
HCMA has 34M diluted shares, up 360% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $258.5M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over HCMA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
HCMA Net Leverage
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
HCMA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 86.7 | Overbought |
HCMA's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
HCMA PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HCMA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 63x | 13x | 384% above |
| PE % | 43 | 10 | 33 pts above |
HCMA is trading at 63x earnings, a 384% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over HCMA on valuation relative to its sector.
HCMA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.3 | 0.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $10.3 | 0.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.2 | 1.3% above |
HCMA has stronger trend alignment. HCMA is above 3 of 3 weekly averages versus MS above 3 of 5.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
HCMA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $10.1 | $10.1 | -0.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.1 | $10.3 | +2.7% |
HCMA has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's up 2.7% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over HCMA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.