HCM

HUTCHMED (China) Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score HCM yet.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 15% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 43%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

HCM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

HCM's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

HCM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$2.63-82%
Current5.7x$14.85—
Fair5.8x$3.00-80%
Expensive67x$34.83+135%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HCM's PE is 5.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over HCM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HCM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HCM's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HCM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $14.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCM and NVO's risk to reward.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCM and NVO's risk to reward.

HCM Earnings Per Share

Q2 2020: $-0.34Q4 2020: $-0.18Q2 2021: $-0.25Q4 2021: $-0.25Q2 2022: $-0.30Q4 2022: $-0.43Q2 2023: $-0.05Q4 2023: $0.12Q2 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.52
Q2 2020: $-0.34Q4 2020: $-0.18Q2 2021: $-0.25Q4 2021: $-0.25Q2 2022: $-0.30Q4 2022: $-0.43Q2 2023: $-0.05Q4 2023: $0.12Q2 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.52+1200%
Q2 2025$0.53+$0.57
Q4 2024$0.04-67%
Q2 2024-$0.04+$0.01
Q4 2023$0.12+$0.55
Q2 2023-$0.05+$0.25
Q4 2022-$0.43-$0.18
Q2 2022-$0.30-$0.05

HCM has the edge over NVO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

HCM Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2020: $107MQ4 2020: $121MQ2 2021: $157MQ4 2021: $199MQ2 2022: $202MQ4 2022: $224MQ2 2023: $533MQ4 2023: $305MQ2 2024: $306MQ4 2024: $325MQ2 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $271M
Q2 2020: $107MQ4 2020: $121MQ2 2021: $157MQ4 2021: $199MQ2 2022: $202MQ4 2022: $224MQ2 2023: $533MQ4 2023: $305MQ2 2024: $306MQ4 2024: $325MQ2 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $271M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$270.8M-17%
Q2 2025$277.7M-9.2%
Q4 2024$324.5M+6.4%
Q2 2024$305.7M-43%
Q4 2023$305.1M+36%
Q2 2023$532.9M+164%
Q4 2022$224.4M+13%
Q2 2022$202M+28%

HCM's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $271M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over HCM in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

HCM Free Cash Flow

Q2 2020: −$32MQ4 2020: −$38MQ2 2021: −$80MQ4 2021: −$140MQ2 2022: −$106MQ4 2022: −$200MQ2 2023: $202MQ4 2023: −$15MQ2 2024: −$50MQ4 2024: $33MQ2 2025: −$82MQ4 2025: $3M
Q2 2020: −$32MQ4 2020: −$38MQ2 2021: −$80MQ4 2021: −$140MQ2 2022: −$106MQ4 2022: −$200MQ2 2023: $202MQ4 2023: −$15MQ2 2024: −$50MQ4 2024: $33MQ2 2025: −$82MQ4 2025: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$3.4M-90%
Q2 2025-$82.2M-$32.2M
Q4 2024$32.5M+$47.9M
Q2 2024-$49.9M-125%
Q4 2023-$15.4M+$184.3M
Q2 2023$202M+$307.7M
Q4 2022-$199.7M-$59.3M
Q2 2022-$105.6M-$25.4M

HCM has burned cash in most quarters: −$96M over the past year, against −$119M the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

HCM Total Shares

Q2 2020: 685MQ4 2020: 698MQ2 2021: 729MQ4 2021: 793MQ2 2022: 849MQ4 2022: 847MQ2 2023: 867MQ4 2023: 869MQ2 2024: 873MQ4 2024: 873MQ2 2025: 873MQ4 2025: 873M
Q2 2020: 685MQ4 2020: 698MQ2 2021: 729MQ4 2021: 793MQ2 2022: 849MQ4 2022: 847MQ2 2023: 867MQ4 2023: 869MQ2 2024: 873MQ4 2024: 873MQ2 2025: 873MQ4 2025: 873M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+327K shares
1 year+0.4%+3.7M shares
3 years+31%+207M shares
5 years+46%+273M shares

HCM has 873M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over HCM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HCM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.5x
Q4 2023: -6.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2023-6.5xNet Cash

HCM has more cash than debt.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

HCM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic79.2Neutral

HCM's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

HCM PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricHCMSector medianRelative
PE5.7x26x78% below
PE %462917 pts above

HCM has the edge over NVO on valuation relative to its sector.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

HCM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.24.4% above
20 week MA$13.014% above
50 week MA$13.411% above
100 week MA$14.34% above
200 week MA$15.43.8% below

HCM has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

HCM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.5$29.5+16%
2021$29.5$35.3+20%
2022$35.3$14.0-60%
2023$14.0$18.1+29%
2024$18.1$14.3-21%
2025$14.3$13.8-3.5%
2026 YTD$13.8$14.9+7.8%

HCM has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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