HCM

HUTCHMED (China) Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score HCM yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

HCM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

HCM's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HCM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$2.63-82%
Current5.7x$14.85—
Fair5.8x$3.00-80%
Expensive67x$34.83+135%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HCM's PE is 5.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over HCM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HCM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HCM's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over HCM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

HCM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $14.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCM and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCM and LLY's risk to reward.

HCM Earnings Per Share

Q2 2020: $-0.34Q4 2020: $-0.18Q2 2021: $-0.25Q4 2021: $-0.25Q2 2022: $-0.30Q4 2022: $-0.43Q2 2023: $-0.05Q4 2023: $0.12Q2 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.52
Q2 2020: $-0.34Q4 2020: $-0.18Q2 2021: $-0.25Q4 2021: $-0.25Q2 2022: $-0.30Q4 2022: $-0.43Q2 2023: $-0.05Q4 2023: $0.12Q2 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.52+1200%
Q2 2025$0.53+$0.57
Q4 2024$0.04-67%
Q2 2024-$0.04+$0.01
Q4 2023$0.12+$0.55
Q2 2023-$0.05+$0.25
Q4 2022-$0.43-$0.18
Q2 2022-$0.30-$0.05

HCM has the edge over LLY in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

HCM Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2020: $107MQ4 2020: $121MQ2 2021: $157MQ4 2021: $199MQ2 2022: $202MQ4 2022: $224MQ2 2023: $533MQ4 2023: $305MQ2 2024: $306MQ4 2024: $325MQ2 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $271M
Q2 2020: $107MQ4 2020: $121MQ2 2021: $157MQ4 2021: $199MQ2 2022: $202MQ4 2022: $224MQ2 2023: $533MQ4 2023: $305MQ2 2024: $306MQ4 2024: $325MQ2 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $271M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$270.8M-17%
Q2 2025$277.7M-9.2%
Q4 2024$324.5M+6.4%
Q2 2024$305.7M-43%
Q4 2023$305.1M+36%
Q2 2023$532.9M+164%
Q4 2022$224.4M+13%
Q2 2022$202M+28%

HCM's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $271M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over HCM in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

HCM Free Cash Flow

Q2 2020: −$32MQ4 2020: −$38MQ2 2021: −$80MQ4 2021: −$140MQ2 2022: −$106MQ4 2022: −$200MQ2 2023: $202MQ4 2023: −$15MQ2 2024: −$50MQ4 2024: $33MQ2 2025: −$82MQ4 2025: $3M
Q2 2020: −$32MQ4 2020: −$38MQ2 2021: −$80MQ4 2021: −$140MQ2 2022: −$106MQ4 2022: −$200MQ2 2023: $202MQ4 2023: −$15MQ2 2024: −$50MQ4 2024: $33MQ2 2025: −$82MQ4 2025: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$3.4M-90%
Q2 2025-$82.2M-$32.2M
Q4 2024$32.5M+$47.9M
Q2 2024-$49.9M-125%
Q4 2023-$15.4M+$184.3M
Q2 2023$202M+$307.7M
Q4 2022-$199.7M-$59.3M
Q2 2022-$105.6M-$25.4M

HCM has burned cash in most quarters: −$96M over the past year, against −$119M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

HCM Total Shares

Q2 2020: 685MQ4 2020: 698MQ2 2021: 729MQ4 2021: 793MQ2 2022: 849MQ4 2022: 847MQ2 2023: 867MQ4 2023: 869MQ2 2024: 873MQ4 2024: 873MQ2 2025: 873MQ4 2025: 873M
Q2 2020: 685MQ4 2020: 698MQ2 2021: 729MQ4 2021: 793MQ2 2022: 849MQ4 2022: 847MQ2 2023: 867MQ4 2023: 869MQ2 2024: 873MQ4 2024: 873MQ2 2025: 873MQ4 2025: 873M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+327K shares
1 year+0.4%+3.7M shares
3 years+31%+207M shares
5 years+46%+273M shares

HCM has 873M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over HCM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HCM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.5x
Q4 2023: -6.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2023-6.5xNet Cash

HCM has more cash than debt.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

HCM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic79.2Neutral

HCM's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

HCM PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricHCMSector medianRelative
PE5.7x26x78% below
PE %462917 pts above

HCM has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

HCM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.24.4% above
20 week MA$13.014% above
50 week MA$13.411% above
100 week MA$14.34% above
200 week MA$15.43.8% below

HCM has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 3.8% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over HCM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HCM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.5$29.5+16%
2021$29.5$35.3+20%
2022$35.3$14.0-60%
2023$14.0$18.1+29%
2024$18.1$14.3-21%
2025$14.3$13.8-3.5%
2026 YTD$13.8$14.9+7.8%

HCM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 7.8% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over HCM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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