HCI

HCI Group, Inc.

70
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

HCI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 7.7x earnings, about half its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

HCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HCI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HCI.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

HCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x135x202x270x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x135x202x270x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.7x$191โ€”
Cheap8.8x$217+14%
Forward9.3x$191โ€”
Fair15x$382+100%
Expensive30x$752+294%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HCI's PE is in its cheap range at 7.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HCI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$236.53
Downside-19%$155.27

Calculated from the latest close: $190.83 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCI and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HCI and IREN's risk to reward.

HCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.56Q1 2024: $9.83Q2 2024: $12.79Q3 2024: $11.97Q4 2024: $8.80Q1 2025: $10.34Q2 2025: $11.28Q3 2025: $15.66Q4 2025: $22.68Q1 2026: $22.78Q2 2026: $23.20Q3 2026: $24.75Forward: $20.61
Q4 2023: $7.56Q1 2024: $9.83Q2 2024: $12.79Q3 2024: $11.97Q4 2024: $8.80Q1 2025: $10.34Q2 2025: $11.28Q3 2025: $15.66Q4 2025: $22.68Q1 2026: $22.78Q2 2026: $23.20Q3 2026: $24.75Forward: $20.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.61-17%
Q3 2026$24.75+58%
Q2 2026$23.20+106%
Q1 2026$22.78+120%
Q4 2025$22.68+158%
Q3 2025$15.66+31%
Q2 2025$11.28-12%
Q1 2025$10.34+5.2%
Q4 2024$8.80+16%

HCI has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $163MQ1 2024: $207MQ2 2024: $206MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $222MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $247MQ3 2026: $245M
Q4 2023: $163MQ1 2024: $207MQ2 2024: $206MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $222MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $247MQ3 2026: $245M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$244.9M+13%
Q2 2026$246.7M+11%
Q1 2026$242.9M+12%
Q4 2025$246.2M+52%
Q3 2025$216.4M+23%
Q2 2025$221.9M+7.6%
Q1 2025$216.4M+4.8%
Q4 2024$161.9M-0.5%

HCI's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $245M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $152MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: โˆ’$30MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $148MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $74M
Q4 2023: $152MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: โˆ’$30MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $148MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $74M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$74.5M+188%
Q2 2026$124.8M-14%
Q1 2026$148.5M-7.4%
Q4 2025$110.2M+50%
Q3 2025$25.9M-75%
Q2 2025$144.5M+$174.6M
Q1 2025$160.3M-11%
Q4 2024$73.6M-52%

HCI has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

HCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 11MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-95K shares
1 year-2.6%-329K shares
3 years+42%+3.7M shares

HCI has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

HCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.4xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.7xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.1xQ3 2025: -3.2xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -4.4xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.7xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.1xQ3 2025: -3.2xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.7xNet Cash

HCI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HCI.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

HCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.5Neutral
Stochastic51.9Neutral

HCI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HCI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHCISector medianRelative
PE7.7x13x41% below
PE %96354 pts below

HCI is trading at 7.7x earnings, a 41% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$191.00.1% below
20 week MA$186.42.4% above
50 week MA$173.310% above
100 week MA$162.917% above
200 week MA$122.156% above

HCI has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

HCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.9$51.8+13%
2021$51.8$87.5+69%
2022$87.5$39.6-55%
2023$39.6$87.4+121%
2024$87.4$117.4+34%
2025$117.4$192.1+64%
2026 YTD$192.1$190.8-0.6%

HCI has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key