HCAT

Health Catalyst, Inc.

34
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

HCAT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over HCAT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

HCAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy
Unavailable

HCAT's cash flow is currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

HCAT PE Valuation

HCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HCAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HCAT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over HCAT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

HCAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$2.49
Downside-46%$0.74

Calculated from the latest close: $1.36 on Nov 12.

HCAT trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HCAT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HCAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.09Q1 2024: $-1.84Q2 2024: $-1.49Q3 2024: $-1.34Q4 2024: $-1.15Q1 2025: $-1.15Q2 2025: $-1.51Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-2.55Q1 2026: $-3.73Q2 2026: $-3.69Q3 2026: $-2.84
Q4 2023: $-2.09Q1 2024: $-1.84Q2 2024: $-1.49Q3 2024: $-1.34Q4 2024: $-1.15Q1 2025: $-1.15Q2 2025: $-1.51Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-2.55Q1 2026: $-3.73Q2 2026: $-3.69Q3 2026: $-2.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.84-$1.25
Q2 2026-$3.69-$2.18
Q1 2026-$3.73-$2.58
Q4 2025-$2.55-$1.40
Q3 2025-$1.59-$0.25
Q2 2025-$1.51-$0.02
Q1 2025-$1.15+$0.69
Q4 2024-$1.15+$0.94

HCAT lost $2.84 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over HCAT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HCAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $56M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $56M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$56.3M-26%
Q2 2026$70.5M-13%
Q1 2026$70.8M-11%
Q4 2025$74.7M-6.2%
Q3 2025$76.3M0%
Q2 2025$80.7M+6.3%
Q1 2025$79.4M+6.3%
Q4 2024$79.6M+6%

HCAT's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $56M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over HCAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$19MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$390,000Q2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$719,000Q4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$70,000Q3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$19MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$390,000Q2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$719,000Q4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$70,000Q3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2M-$1.3M
Q2 2026-$70K+$8.7M
Q1 2026$18.2M+$18.6M
Q4 2025$9.6M+$13.6M
Q3 2025-$719K-113%
Q2 2025-$8.8M-763%
Q1 2025-$390K-104%
Q4 2024-$3.9M+$15.4M

HCAT's free cash flow has turned positive again: $26M over the past year, against −$14M the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over HCAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 70MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 70MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+2M shares
1 year+7.9%+5.6M shares
3 years+34%+19.2M shares
5 years+55%+26.9M shares
Available history+105%+38.8M shares

HCAT has 76M diluted shares, up 7.9% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over HCAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HCAT Net Leverage

HCAT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

HCAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.4Neutral
Stochastic9.3Oversold

HCAT's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

HCAT PE vs Healthcare Sector

HCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

HCAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.6518% below
20 week MA$1.7924% below
50 week MA$1.7924% below
100 week MA$2.9354% below
200 week MA$6.1878% below

HCAT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 78% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over HCAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HCAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.1$44.9+31%
2021$44.9$39.5-12%
2022$39.5$10.3-74%
2023$10.3$9.26-10%
2024$9.26$7.08-24%
2025$7.08$2.42-66%
2026 YTD$2.42$1.36-44%

HCAT has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 44% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over HCAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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