HCAT

Health Catalyst, Inc.

34
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

HCAT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over HCAT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HCAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy
Unavailable

HCAT's cash flow is currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HCAT PE Valuation

HCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HCAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HCAT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over HCAT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

HCAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$2.49
Downside-46%$0.74

Calculated from the latest close: $1.36 on Nov 12.

HCAT trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HCAT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HCAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.09Q1 2024: $-1.84Q2 2024: $-1.49Q3 2024: $-1.34Q4 2024: $-1.15Q1 2025: $-1.15Q2 2025: $-1.51Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-2.55Q1 2026: $-3.73Q2 2026: $-3.69Q3 2026: $-2.84
Q4 2023: $-2.09Q1 2024: $-1.84Q2 2024: $-1.49Q3 2024: $-1.34Q4 2024: $-1.15Q1 2025: $-1.15Q2 2025: $-1.51Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-2.55Q1 2026: $-3.73Q2 2026: $-3.69Q3 2026: $-2.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.84-$1.25
Q2 2026-$3.69-$2.18
Q1 2026-$3.73-$2.58
Q4 2025-$2.55-$1.40
Q3 2025-$1.59-$0.25
Q2 2025-$1.51-$0.02
Q1 2025-$1.15+$0.69
Q4 2024-$1.15+$0.94

HCAT lost $2.84 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over HCAT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HCAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $56M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $56M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$56.3M-26%
Q2 2026$70.5M-13%
Q1 2026$70.8M-11%
Q4 2025$74.7M-6.2%
Q3 2025$76.3M0%
Q2 2025$80.7M+6.3%
Q1 2025$79.4M+6.3%
Q4 2024$79.6M+6%

HCAT's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $56M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over HCAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$19MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$390,000Q2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$719,000Q4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$70,000Q3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$19MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$390,000Q2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$719,000Q4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$70,000Q3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2M-$1.3M
Q2 2026-$70K+$8.7M
Q1 2026$18.2M+$18.6M
Q4 2025$9.6M+$13.6M
Q3 2025-$719K-113%
Q2 2025-$8.8M-763%
Q1 2025-$390K-104%
Q4 2024-$3.9M+$15.4M

HCAT's free cash flow has turned positive again: $26M over the past year, against −$14M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over HCAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 70MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 70MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+2M shares
1 year+7.9%+5.6M shares
3 years+34%+19.2M shares
5 years+55%+26.9M shares
Available history+105%+38.8M shares

HCAT has 76M diluted shares, up 7.9% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over HCAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HCAT Net Leverage

HCAT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

HCAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.4Neutral
Stochastic9.3Oversold

HCAT's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

HCAT PE vs Healthcare Sector

HCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

HCAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.6518% below
20 week MA$1.7924% below
50 week MA$1.7924% below
100 week MA$2.9354% below
200 week MA$6.1878% below

HCAT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 78% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over HCAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HCAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.1$44.9+31%
2021$44.9$39.5-12%
2022$39.5$10.3-74%
2023$10.3$9.26-10%
2024$9.26$7.08-24%
2025$7.08$2.42-66%
2026 YTD$2.42$1.36-44%

HCAT has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 44% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over HCAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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