HBT
HBT Financial, Inc.
HBT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over HBT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
HBT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HBT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HBT.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
HBT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.1x | $23.32 | -38% |
| Fair | 10x | $25.73 | -31% |
| Expensive | 11x | $28.51 | -24% |
| Forward | 11x | $37.49 | — |
| Current | 15x | $37.49 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HBT's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over HBT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HBT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HBT, but weaker profitability.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over HBT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
HBT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.45 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.56 | +3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.33 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.18 | -8.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.44 | +8% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.48 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +8% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.38 | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.26 | +9.2% |
HBT has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
HBT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84.6M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.9M | +38% |
| Q1 2026 | $67.3M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $60.4M | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $59.8M | +6% |
| Q2 2025 | $58.8M | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $58M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $59M | +4.9% |
HBT's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $85M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -22 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 45% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 46% | +2.4 points |
HBT has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over HBT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
HBT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.5M | +101% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.5M | -6.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9M | +38% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.2M | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.6M | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.4M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.3M | +33% |
HBT has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
HBT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +22.7K shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +4.9M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +4.5M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +9.1M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +9M shares |
HBT has 36M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $17M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $426,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $15.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $587,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HBT spent $17M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has the edge over HBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
HBT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
HBT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HBT.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over HBT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HBT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.3 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 65.9 | Neutral |
HBT's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
HBT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HBT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 12% above |
| PE % | 95 | 63 | 32 pts above |
HBT has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HBT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.3 | 3.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $35.5 | 5.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $30.9 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $27.4 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $23.8 | 58% above |
HBT has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
HBT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.8 | $15.1 | -19% |
| 2021 | $15.1 | $18.7 | +24% |
| 2022 | $18.7 | $19.6 | +4.9% |
| 2023 | $19.6 | $21.1 | +7.9% |
| 2024 | $21.1 | $21.7 | +2.7% |
| 2025 | $21.7 | $26.0 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.0 | $37.5 | +44% |
HBT has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.