HBT
HBT Financial, Inc.
HBT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over HBT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
HBT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HBT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HBT.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
HBT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.1x | $23.32 | -38% |
| Fair | 10x | $25.73 | -31% |
| Expensive | 11x | $28.51 | -24% |
| Forward | 11x | $37.49 | — |
| Current | 15x | $37.49 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HBT's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over HBT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HBT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HBT, but weaker profitability.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over HBT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
HBT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.45 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.56 | +3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.33 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.18 | -8.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.44 | +8% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.48 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +8% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.38 | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.26 | +9.2% |
HBT earned $2.56 per share over the past year, up 3.2% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over HBT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HBT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84.6M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.9M | +38% |
| Q1 2026 | $67.3M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $60.4M | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $59.8M | +6% |
| Q2 2025 | $58.8M | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $58M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $59M | +4.9% |
HBT's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $85M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -22 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 45% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 46% | +2.4 points |
HBT has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over HBT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HBT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.5M | +101% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.5M | -6.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9M | +38% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.2M | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.6M | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.4M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.3M | +33% |
HBT has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
HBT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +22.7K shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +4.9M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +4.5M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +9.1M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +9M shares |
HBT has 36M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $17M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $426,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $15.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $587,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HBT spent $17M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over HBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
HBT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
HBT has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
HBT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.3 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 65.9 | Neutral |
HBT's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
HBT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HBT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 12% above |
| PE % | 95 | 63 | 32 pts above |
HBT has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HBT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.3 | 3.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $35.5 | 5.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $30.9 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $27.4 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $23.8 | 58% above |
HBT has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
HBT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.8 | $15.1 | -19% |
| 2021 | $15.1 | $18.7 | +24% |
| 2022 | $18.7 | $19.6 | +4.9% |
| 2023 | $19.6 | $21.1 | +7.9% |
| 2024 | $21.1 | $21.7 | +2.7% |
| 2025 | $21.7 | $26.0 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.0 | $37.5 | +44% |
HBT has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.