HBT

HBT Financial, Inc.

51
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

HBT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over HBT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

HBT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HBT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HBT.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

HBT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.3x12x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.3x12x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$23.32-38%
Fair10x$25.73-31%
Expensive11x$28.51-24%
Forward11x$37.49—
Current15x$37.49—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HBT's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over HBT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HBT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HBT, but weaker profitability.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

HBT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$46.21
Downside-12%$32.96

Calculated from the latest close: $37.49 on Nov 12.

HBT trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HBT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HBT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.24Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.38Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.44Q1 2026: $2.18Q2 2026: $2.33Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $3.45
Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.24Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.38Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.44Q1 2026: $2.18Q2 2026: $2.33Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $3.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.45+35%
Q3 2026$2.56+3.2%
Q2 2026$2.33-3.7%
Q1 2026$2.18-8.4%
Q4 2025$2.44+8%
Q3 2025$2.48+13%
Q2 2025$2.42+8%
Q1 2025$2.38+5.8%
Q4 2024$2.26+9.2%

HBT earned $2.56 per share over the past year, up 3.2% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over HBT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HBT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.6M+41%
Q2 2026$80.9M+38%
Q1 2026$67.3M+16%
Q4 2025$60.4M+2.4%
Q3 2025$59.8M+6%
Q2 2025$58.8M+3.8%
Q1 2025$58M+11%
Q4 2024$59M+4.9%

HBT has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HBT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34.5M+101%
Q2 2026$17.2M+27%
Q1 2026$28.5M-6.3%
Q4 2025$23.9M+38%
Q3 2025$17.2M-33%
Q2 2025$13.6M-32%
Q1 2025$30.4M+14%
Q4 2024$17.3M+33%

HBT has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

HBT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+22.7K shares
1 year+16%+4.9M shares
3 years+14%+4.5M shares
5 years+33%+9.1M shares
Available history+33%+9M shares

HBT has 36M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $17M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over HBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HBT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

HBT has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

HBT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.3Overbought
Stochastic65.9Neutral

HBT's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

HBT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHBTSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %956332 pts above

HBT is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over HBT on valuation relative to its sector.

HBT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.33.3% above
20 week MA$35.55.5% above
50 week MA$30.922% above
100 week MA$27.437% above
200 week MA$23.858% above

HBT has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

HBT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.8$15.1-19%
2021$15.1$18.7+24%
2022$18.7$19.6+4.9%
2023$19.6$21.1+7.9%
2024$21.1$21.7+2.7%
2025$21.7$26.0+20%
2026 YTD$26.0$37.5+44%

HBT has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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