HBNC

Horizon Bancorp, Inc.

53
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

HBNC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over HBNC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

HBNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HBNC's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HBNC.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

HBNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$13.59-36%
Forward9.6x$21.19—
Fair10x$20.01-5.6%
Current11x$21.19—
Expensive19x$38.49+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HBNC's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.6x next year's earnings.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over HBNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HBNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HBNC, with profitability improving.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HBNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$26.23
Downside-15%$18.00

Calculated from the latest close: $21.19 on Nov 12.

HBNC trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HBNC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HBNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.80Q1 2025: $1.02Q2 2025: $1.17Q3 2026: $2.00Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.80Q1 2025: $1.02Q2 2025: $1.17Q3 2026: $2.00Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+10%
Q2 2025$1.17+172%
Q1 2025$1.02+89%
Q4 2024$0.80+25%
Q3 2024$0.47-72%
Q2 2024$0.43-77%
Q1 2024$0.54-73%
Q4 2023$0.64-70%
Q3 2023$1.70-21%

HBNC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 326% for HBNC versus HOOD down 10%.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

HBNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $77M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $77M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$75.5M+14%
Q1 2026$73.5M+6.9%
Q4 2025$74.9M+210%
Q2 2025$66.3M+19%
Q1 2025$68.8M+29%
Q4 2024$24.2M+11%
Q3 2024$58.4M+8.3%
Q2 2024$55.8M-2.4%

HBNC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 16% for HBNC versus up 12% for HOOD.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

HBNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$31.3M+73%
Q1 2026$20.7M+47%
Q4 2025$32.6M+$82.8M
Q2 2025$18.1M+20%
Q1 2025$14.1M+163%
Q4 2024-$50.2M-468%
Q3 2024$31M+8.1%
Q2 2024$15.1M+7.1%

HOOD has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 1,003% versus its history, compared with HBNC at up 52%.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

HBNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+53.7K shares
1 year+17%+7.3M shares
3 years+17%+7.6M shares
5 years+16%+7.2M shares
Available history+14%+6.3M shares

HBNC has 51M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over HBNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HBNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 16.6xQ1 2024: -6.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -5.7xQ4 2024: 24.9xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: 16.6xQ1 2024: -6.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -5.7xQ4 2024: 24.9xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 202424.9xHigh
Q3 2024-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-6.0xNet Cash
Q4 202316.6xHigh

HBNC has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

HBNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.5Neutral
Stochastic76.2Neutral

HBNC's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HBNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHBNCSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %60633 pts below

HBNC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HBNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.15.6% above
20 week MA$20.06% above
50 week MA$18.714% above
100 week MA$17.223% above
200 week MA$15.041% above

HBNC has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

HBNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.0$15.6-18%
2021$15.6$20.7+33%
2022$20.7$15.2-26%
2023$15.2$14.3-6%
2024$14.3$16.1+12%
2025$16.1$17.5+8.5%
2026 YTD$17.5$21.2+21%

HBNC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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