HBIO

Harvard Bioscience, Inc.

55
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

HBIO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over HBIO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HBIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

HBIO's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HBIO PE Valuation

HBIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HBIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HBIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over HBIO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

HBIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$14.71
Downside-37%$5.78

Calculated from the latest close: $9.21 on Nov 12.

HBIO trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HBIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HBIO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-2.50Q3 2024: $-3.30Q4 2024: $-2.80Q1 2025: $-13.10Q2 2025: $-12.90Q3 2025: $-12.10Q4 2025: $-12.80Q1 2026: $-2.17Q2 2026: $-2.31Q3 2026: $-2.59
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-2.50Q3 2024: $-3.30Q4 2024: $-2.80Q1 2025: $-13.10Q2 2025: $-12.90Q3 2025: $-12.10Q4 2025: $-12.80Q1 2026: $-2.17Q2 2026: $-2.31Q3 2026: $-2.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.59+$9.51
Q2 2026-$2.31+$10.59
Q1 2026-$2.17+$10.93
Q4 2025-$12.80-$10.00
Q3 2025-$12.10-$8.80
Q2 2025-$12.90-$10.40
Q1 2025-$13.10-$11.10
Q4 2024-$2.80-$2.00

HBIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.59 per share over the past year, against $13.10 at its worst in early 2025.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over HBIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HBIO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$22.2M+7.8%
Q2 2026$22.7M+11%
Q1 2026$20.8M-4.7%
Q4 2025$23.7M-3.3%
Q3 2025$20.6M-6.3%
Q2 2025$20.5M-11%
Q1 2025$21.8M-11%
Q4 2024$24.6M-13%

HBIO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $22M last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over HBIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HBIO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $758,000Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $877,000Q4 2025: −$545,000Q1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$363,000Q3 2026: −$1M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $758,000Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $877,000Q4 2025: −$545,000Q1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$363,000Q3 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2M-234%
Q2 2026-$363K-114%
Q1 2026-$1.1M-144%
Q4 2025-$545K-138%
Q3 2025$877K+$2.6M
Q2 2025$2.7M+$4.3M
Q1 2025$2.5M+226%
Q4 2024$1.4M-59%

HBIO's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$3M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over HBIO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

HBIO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+35K shares
1 year+2.4%+105K shares
3 years+6.8%+292K shares
5 years+15%+582K shares
Available history+21%+780K shares

HBIO has 5M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over HBIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HBIO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 6.5xQ2 2024: 15.6xQ3 2024: 30.5xQ4 2024: 43.1xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 10.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 6.5xQ2 2024: 15.6xQ3 2024: 30.5xQ4 2024: 43.1xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 10.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.3xHigh
Q2 20266.2xHigh
Q1 20265.5xHigh
Q4 202443.1xHigh
Q3 202430.5xHigh
Q2 202415.6xHigh
Q1 20246.5xHigh
Q4 20233.7xElevated

HBIO's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over HBIO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HBIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.8Neutral
Stochastic83.0Overbought

HBIO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

HBIO PE vs Healthcare Sector

HBIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

HBIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.429.4% above
20 week MA$7.5222% above
50 week MA$6.5840% above
100 week MA$7.0032% above
200 week MA$23.160% below

HBIO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 60% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over HBIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HBIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.4$40.8+39%
2021$40.8$71.0+74%
2022$71.0$27.3-62%
2023$27.3$53.5+96%
2024$53.5$19.8-63%
2025$19.8$7.02-65%
2026 YTD$7.02$9.21+31%

HBIO is up 31% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over HBIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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