HAPN

Happen, Inc. Common Stock

59
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

HAPN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has a slight edge over HAPN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

HAPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HAPN's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HAPN.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

HAPN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.1x$15.27—
Current8.5x$15.27—
Cheap12x$21.59+41%
Fair23x$42.16+176%
Expensive29x$52.47+244%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HAPN has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

HAPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HAPN, with profitability improving.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HAPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$20.78
Downside-26%$11.31

Calculated from the latest close: $15.27 on Nov 12.

HAPN trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HAPN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HAPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.44Q2 2025: $0.64Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.50Q2 2026: $1.67Q3 2026: $1.80Forward: $2.16
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.44Q2 2025: $0.64Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.50Q2 2026: $1.67Q3 2026: $1.80Forward: $2.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.16+20%
Q3 2026$1.80+105%
Q2 2026$1.67+161%
Q1 2026$1.50+241%
Q4 2025$1.16+158%
Q3 2025$0.88+91%
Q2 2025$0.64+68%
Q1 2025$0.44+29%
Q4 2024$0.45+25%

HAPN has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

HAPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $202MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $248MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $263MQ3 2026: $263M
Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $202MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $248MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $263MQ3 2026: $263M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$263.2M-1.2%
Q2 2026$262.9M+5.8%
Q1 2026$252.3M+16%
Q4 2025$266.5M+23%
Q3 2025$266.2M+32%
Q2 2025$248.4M+33%
Q1 2025$217.7M+20%
Q4 2024$217.2M+17%

HAPN's revenue is growing: $263M last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over HAPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HAPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$826MQ1 2024: −$858MQ2 2024: −$945MQ3 2024: −$682MQ4 2024: −$203MQ1 2025: −$352MQ2 2025: −$804MQ3 2025: −$792MQ4 2025: −$919MQ1 2026: −$645MQ2 2026: −$601MQ3 2026: −$710M
Q4 2023: −$826MQ1 2024: −$858MQ2 2024: −$945MQ3 2024: −$682MQ4 2024: −$203MQ1 2025: −$352MQ2 2025: −$804MQ3 2025: −$792MQ4 2025: −$919MQ1 2026: −$645MQ2 2026: −$601MQ3 2026: −$710M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$709.7M+$82.1M
Q2 2026-$600.9M+$202.9M
Q1 2026-$644.8M-$292.5M
Q4 2025-$919.3M-$716.8M
Q3 2025-$791.8M-$109.6M
Q2 2025-$803.8M+$141.5M
Q1 2025-$352.3M+$506M
Q4 2024-$202.6M+$623.5M

HAPN's free cash flow was −$2.9B over the past year, against −$2.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HAPN.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over HAPN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

HAPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 117MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 118M
Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 117MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 118M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+308K shares
1 year-0.5%-606K shares
3 years+7.8%+8.5M shares

HAPN has 118M diluted shares, down 0.5% from a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over HAPN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HAPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20242.5xModerate
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash

HAPN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HAPN.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

HAPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.2Neutral

HAPN's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HAPN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHAPNSector medianRelative
PE8.5x13x35% below
PE %16362 pts below

HAPN has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HAPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.11% above
20 week MA$17.211% below
50 week MA$17.211% below
100 week MA$15.51.7% below
200 week MA$12.324% above

HAPN has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

HAPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.5$8.82-30%
2021$8.82$25.8+192%
2022$25.8$8.67-66%
2023$8.67$8.74+0.8%
2024$8.74$16.7+91%
2025$16.7$19.6+18%
2026 YTD$19.6$15.3-22%

HAPN has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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