H

Hyatt Hotels Corporation

51
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

H has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has a slight edge over H overall, supported by stronger valuation.

H Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

H's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

H PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE126x252x378x504x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE126x252x378x504x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$22.92-88%
Fair24x$45.64-76%
Forward43x$187—
Expensive78x$151-20%
Current97x$187—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

H's PE is in its expensive range at 97x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 43x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

H Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for H, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

H Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$297.42
Downside-8%$172.36

Calculated from the latest close: $187.21 on Nov 12.

H has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails H on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

H Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.05Q1 2024: $6.45Q2 2024: $9.28Q3 2024: $13.28Q4 2024: $12.65Q1 2025: $7.91Q2 2025: $4.42Q3 2025: $-0.72Q4 2025: $-0.55Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.37
Q4 2023: $2.05Q1 2024: $6.45Q2 2024: $9.28Q3 2024: $13.28Q4 2024: $12.65Q1 2025: $7.91Q2 2025: $4.42Q3 2025: $-0.72Q4 2025: $-0.55Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.37+125%
Q3 2026$1.94+$2.66
Q2 2026$0.83-81%
Q1 2026-$0.34-104%
Q4 2025-$0.55-104%
Q3 2025-$0.72-105%
Q2 2025$4.42-52%
Q1 2025$7.91+23%
Q4 2024$12.65+517%

H has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

H Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B-2.4%
Q2 2026$1.8B+1.2%
Q1 2026$1.7B+1.7%
Q4 2025$1.8B+12%
Q3 2025$1.8B+9.6%
Q2 2025$1.8B+6.2%
Q1 2025$1.7B+0.2%
Q4 2024$1.6B-3.5%

H's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1.7B last quarter, down 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over H on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

H Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $208MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: −$111MQ3 2025: −$89MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: −$157M
Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $208MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: −$111MQ3 2025: −$89MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: −$157M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$157M-$68M
Q2 2026$28M+$139M
Q1 2026$77M-37%
Q4 2025$236M+28%
Q3 2025-$89M-$25M
Q2 2025-$111M-182%
Q1 2025$123M-41%
Q4 2024$184M-41%

H has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

H Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 96MQ3 2025: 96MQ4 2025: 96MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 96M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 96MQ3 2025: 96MQ4 2025: 96MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-349K shares
1 year+0.9%+835K shares
3 years-9.8%-10.5M shares
5 years-7.3%-7.6M shares
Available history-9.4%-9.9M shares

H has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

H Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 15.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 9.1xQ2 2026: 6.9xQ3 2026: 6.3x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 15.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 9.1xQ2 2026: 6.9xQ3 2026: 6.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.3xHigh
Q2 20266.9xHigh
Q1 20269.1xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 202515.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

H's net debt is about 6.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 15 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

H Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.5Neutral
Stochastic79.4Neutral

H's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

H PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHSector medianRelative
PE97x18x436% above
PE %894742 pts above

H is trading at 97x earnings, a 436% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

H Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.69.1% above
20 week MA$175.26.9% above
50 week MA$169.810% above
100 week MA$155.221% above
200 week MA$143.031% above

H has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

H Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$90.7$72.8-20%
2021$72.8$93.6+29%
2022$93.6$91.1-2.7%
2023$91.1$130.4+43%
2024$130.4$158.5+22%
2025$158.5$165.7+4.6%
2026 YTD$165.7$187.2+13%

H has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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