H
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
H has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over H overall, supported by stronger valuation.
H Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
H's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
H PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $22.92 | -88% |
| Fair | 24x | $45.64 | -76% |
| Forward | 43x | $187 | — |
| Expensive | 78x | $151 | -20% |
| Current | 97x | $187 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
H's PE is in its expensive range at 97x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 43x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over H in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
H Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
H has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
H Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.37 | +125% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.94 | +$2.66 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.83 | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.34 | -104% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.55 | -104% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.72 | -105% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.91 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.65 | +517% |
H has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
H Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.8B | +1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +6.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | +0.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | -3.5% |
H has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +7.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5% | +3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.9% | -38 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1% | -25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3% | -29 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3% | -3.5 points |
H's operating margin was 4.5% last quarter, up 5.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over H on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
H Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$157M | -$68M |
| Q2 2026 | $28M | +$139M |
| Q1 2026 | $77M | -37% |
| Q4 2025 | $236M | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | -$89M | -$25M |
| Q2 2025 | -$111M | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | $123M | -41% |
| Q4 2024 | $184M | -41% |
H has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
H Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -349K shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +835K shares |
| 3 years | -9.8% | -10.5M shares |
| 5 years | -7.3% | -7.6M shares |
| Available history | -9.4% | -9.9M shares |
H has 96M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago, despite $408M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $147M |
| Q2 2026 | $12M |
| Q1 2026 | $135M |
| Q4 2025 | $114M |
| Q3 2025 | $30M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $149M |
| Q4 2024 | $11M |
H spent $408M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 115% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over H on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
H Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 9.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 15.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
H's net debt is about 6.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 15 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over H on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
H Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.4 | Neutral |
H's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
H PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | H | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 97x | 18x | 436% above |
| PE % | 89 | 47 | 42 pts above |
H is trading at 97x earnings, a 436% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over H on valuation relative to its sector.
H Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $171.6 | 9.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $175.2 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $169.8 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $155.2 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $143.0 | 31% above |
H has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
H Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $90.7 | $72.8 | -20% |
| 2021 | $72.8 | $93.6 | +29% |
| 2022 | $93.6 | $91.1 | -2.7% |
| 2023 | $91.1 | $130.4 | +43% |
| 2024 | $130.4 | $158.5 | +22% |
| 2025 | $158.5 | $165.7 | +4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $165.7 | $187.2 | +13% |
H has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.