GWW

W.W. Grainger, Inc.

62
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

GWW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over GWW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GWW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

GWW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

GWW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$951-37%
Fair26x$1,200-20%
Forward29x$1,503—
Expensive32x$1,460-2.8%
Current33x$1,503—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GWW's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over GWW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GWW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GWW, with profitability improving.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

GWW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$1,810.83
Downside-10%$1,345.77

Calculated from the latest close: $1,502.61 on Nov 12.

GWW trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GWW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GWW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.23Q1 2024: $36.24Q2 2024: $36.47Q3 2024: $36.91Q4 2024: $38.71Q1 2025: $38.95Q2 2025: $39.41Q3 2025: $35.66Q4 2025: $35.40Q1 2026: $37.19Q2 2026: $39.23Q3 2026: $45.53Forward: $51.08
Q4 2023: $36.23Q1 2024: $36.24Q2 2024: $36.47Q3 2024: $36.91Q4 2024: $38.71Q1 2025: $38.95Q2 2025: $39.41Q3 2025: $35.66Q4 2025: $35.40Q1 2026: $37.19Q2 2026: $39.23Q3 2026: $45.53Forward: $51.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$51.08+12%
Q3 2026$45.53+28%
Q2 2026$39.23-0.5%
Q1 2026$37.19-4.5%
Q4 2025$35.40-8.6%
Q3 2025$35.66-3.4%
Q2 2025$39.41+8.1%
Q1 2025$38.95+7.5%
Q4 2024$38.71+6.8%

GWW earned $45.53 per share over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over GWW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GWW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $5.2B
Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $5.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.2B+11%
Q2 2026$5B+10%
Q1 2026$4.7B+10%
Q4 2025$4.4B+4.5%
Q3 2025$4.7B+6.1%
Q2 2025$4.6B+5.6%
Q1 2025$4.3B+1.7%
Q4 2024$4.2B+5.9%

GWW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $5.2B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over GWW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GWW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $542MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $523MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $521MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $339MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $569MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $546M
Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $542MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $523MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $521MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $339MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $569MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $546M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$546M+61%
Q2 2026$333M+65%
Q1 2026$569M+9.2%
Q4 2025$269M+58%
Q3 2025$339M-35%
Q2 2025$202M-40%
Q1 2025$521M-3.9%
Q4 2024$170M-64%

GWW's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.7B over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over GWW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GWW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-100K shares
1 year-1.7%-800K shares
3 years-6%-3M shares
5 years-9.6%-5M shares
Available history-14%-7.8M shares

GWW has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GWW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

GWW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over GWW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GWW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.0Overbought
Stochastic77.5Neutral

GWW's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

GWW PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGWWSector medianRelative
PE33x24x37% above
PE %895831 pts above

GWW has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

GWW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,349.511% above
20 week MA$1,338.212% above
50 week MA$1,220.223% above
100 week MA$1,117.534% above
200 week MA$985.153% above

GWW has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

GWW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$337.5$415.6+23%
2021$415.6$503.0+21%
2022$503.0$565.1+12%
2023$565.1$828.7+47%
2024$828.7$1,069.0+29%
2025$1,069.0$1,024.3-4.2%
2026 YTD$1,024.3$1,502.6+47%

GWW has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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