GWW

W.W. Grainger, Inc.

62
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

GWW has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GWW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

GWW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GWW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$951-37%
Fair26x$1,200-20%
Forward29x$1,503—
Expensive32x$1,460-2.8%
Current33x$1,503—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GWW's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GWW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GWW, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GWW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$1,810.83
Downside-10%$1,345.77

Calculated from the latest close: $1,502.61 on Nov 12.

GWW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails GWW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GWW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.23Q1 2024: $36.24Q2 2024: $36.47Q3 2024: $36.91Q4 2024: $38.71Q1 2025: $38.95Q2 2025: $39.41Q3 2025: $35.66Q4 2025: $35.40Q1 2026: $37.19Q2 2026: $39.23Q3 2026: $45.53Forward: $51.08
Q4 2023: $36.23Q1 2024: $36.24Q2 2024: $36.47Q3 2024: $36.91Q4 2024: $38.71Q1 2025: $38.95Q2 2025: $39.41Q3 2025: $35.66Q4 2025: $35.40Q1 2026: $37.19Q2 2026: $39.23Q3 2026: $45.53Forward: $51.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$51.08+12%
Q3 2026$45.53+28%
Q2 2026$39.23-0.5%
Q1 2026$37.19-4.5%
Q4 2025$35.40-8.6%
Q3 2025$35.66-3.4%
Q2 2025$39.41+8.1%
Q1 2025$38.95+7.5%
Q4 2024$38.71+6.8%

GWW has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

GWW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $5.2B
Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $5.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.2B+11%
Q2 2026$5B+10%
Q1 2026$4.7B+10%
Q4 2025$4.4B+4.5%
Q3 2025$4.7B+6.1%
Q2 2025$4.6B+5.6%
Q1 2025$4.3B+1.7%
Q4 2024$4.2B+5.9%

GWW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $5.2B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over GWW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GWW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $542MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $523MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $521MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $339MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $569MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $546M
Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $542MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $523MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $521MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $339MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $569MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $546M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$546M+61%
Q2 2026$333M+65%
Q1 2026$569M+9.2%
Q4 2025$269M+58%
Q3 2025$339M-35%
Q2 2025$202M-40%
Q1 2025$521M-3.9%
Q4 2024$170M-64%

GWW has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

GWW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-100K shares
1 year-1.7%-800K shares
3 years-6%-3M shares
5 years-9.6%-5M shares
Available history-14%-7.8M shares

GWW has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

GWW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

GWW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GWW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.0Overbought
Stochastic77.5Neutral

GWW's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

GWW PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGWWSector medianRelative
PE33x24x37% above
PE %895831 pts above

GWW is trading at 33x earnings, a 37% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GWW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,349.511% above
20 week MA$1,338.212% above
50 week MA$1,220.223% above
100 week MA$1,117.534% above
200 week MA$985.153% above

GWW has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

GWW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$337.5$415.6+23%
2021$415.6$503.0+21%
2022$503.0$565.1+12%
2023$565.1$828.7+47%
2024$828.7$1,069.0+29%
2025$1,069.0$1,024.3-4.2%
2026 YTD$1,024.3$1,502.6+47%

GWW has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key