GWRE
Guidewire Software, Inc.
GWRE has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GWRE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
GWRE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GWRE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 35x | $160 | — |
| Cheap | 73x | $118 | -26% |
| Current | 98x | $160 | — |
| Fair | 171x | $278 | +74% |
| Expensive | 528x | $861 | +438% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GWRE's PE is in its fair range at 98x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over GWRE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GWRE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
GWRE has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
GWRE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.56 | +180% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.63 | +101% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.86 | +354% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.21 | +$2.41 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.06 | +186% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.81 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.41 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.20 | +$0.43 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.37 | +$1.23 |
GWRE's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.63 over the past year, up 101% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
GWRE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $411.1M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $372.5M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $359.1M | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $332.6M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $356.6M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $293.5M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $289.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $262.9M | +27% |
GWRE has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.2% | +6.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5% | +7.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | +9.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8% | +15 points |
GWRE's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over GWRE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GWRE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $281.8M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $59.4M | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $108.8M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | -$72.3M | -$9.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $241.4M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $31.6M | +667% |
| Q1 2025 | $85.2M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | -$63.1M | +$9.9M |
GWRE has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
GWRE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +339K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -506K shares |
| 3 years | +3.9% | +3.2M shares |
| 5 years | +2.2% | +1.8M shares |
| Available history | +3.7% | +3M shares |
GWRE has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $213.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $244.3M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $47.8M |
| Q2 2023 | $14M |
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
GWRE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -10.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -11.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -29.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | 2.7x | Moderate |
GWRE has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GWRE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.1 | Neutral |
GWRE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
GWRE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GWRE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 98x | 28x | 252% above |
| PE % | 33 | 35 | 2 pts below |
GWRE is trading at 98x earnings, a 252% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over GWRE on valuation relative to its sector.
GWRE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $163.4 | 2.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $160.3 | 0.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $155.2 | 3.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $184.4 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $148.6 | 7.7% above |
GWRE's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.7% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over GWRE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GWRE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $109.0 | $127.2 | +17% |
| 2021 | $127.2 | $113.8 | -11% |
| 2022 | $113.8 | $60.5 | -47% |
| 2023 | $60.5 | $109.0 | +80% |
| 2024 | $109.0 | $171.2 | +57% |
| 2025 | $171.2 | $205.5 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $205.5 | $160.0 | -22% |
GWRE has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over GWRE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.